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The 3 Most Popular NFL Prop Bets for Week 18 Are Based on Player Incentives

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The three most popular NFL player prop bets for Week 18 are based on player incentives, MGM said in a statement on Friday.

Financial incentives make or break prop bets during the last week of the regular season.

Plenty of quarterbacks, skill position players and edge rushers have performance incentives built into their contracts, ones that can be unlocked if the given athlete reaches a certain number of touchdown passes, rushing yards, catches, sacks, etc.

And at BetMGM, the three most popular prop bets of the weekend involve players with impending incentives.

The 3 Most Popular NFL Prop Bets for Week 18

  1. Jaguars WR Christian Kirk to record over 58.5 receiving yards (-115)
  2. Jaguars WR Zay Jones to record over 52.5 receiving yards (-115)
  3. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes to record over 324.5 passing yards (-110)

Kirk’s over on receiving yards tops our charts for Week 18. The Jaguars’ WR1 needs just two more catches to earn a $500,000 bonus and can earn an extra $500,000 for 91 yards receiving.

It’ll be a big game under the Saturday night lights in a win-or-go-home matchup against the Titans. Winner takes the AFC South and a home playoff game. The loser picks up the pieces.

It makes sense that the public loves Kirk’s teammate and fellow wide receiver Zay Jones under those same parameters.

Jones can earn an extra $250,000 if he catches two passes on Saturday and can earn another $500,000 if he receives for at least 98 yards.

His prop — the second-most popular pick of Week 18 — is over 52.5 yards at a vig of -115.

You can also nab his receptions prop of over 4.5 catches at -130 at FanDuel.

Pick: Zay Jones to record over 4.5 catches -130

Patrick Mahomes has the third-most popular player prop for Week 18 at over 324.5 passing yards (-110).

Mahomes needs 430 passing yards to surpass Peyton Manning’s single-season passing yards record of 5,477.

Mahomes is facing the league’s worst pass defense in the Raiders. And he’s eclipsed 430 yards once this season, against the Titans in Week 9.

If you’re incredibly bullish on Mahomes, you can get +650 on him to surpass Manning on Saturday at DraftKings.

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