Will Mexico Finally Advance Past the Round of 16?

Will Mexico Finally Advance Past the Round of 16? article feature image

Sergei Grits, The Associated Press. Pictured: Mexican fans celebrating

The Odds

  • To Win The World Cup: +11000
  • To Win Group F: +550
  • To Advance to Round of 16: -105

Bet to Watch

Mexico to be eliminated in Round of 16 +200

Mexico is making its seventh straight World Cup appearance (banned in 1990) and looking to advance past the Round of 16 for the first time since 1986 when they were the host nation. They open the 2018 tournament against defending champions Germany as big +650 underdogs in the group stage, but matches will get a bit easier with South Korea and Sweden to follow.

Mexico has talented players from North American, South American and European clubs, most notably young winger Hirving Lozano (PSV Eindhoven in the Netherlands). He’ll be one of the key components and integral pieces if Mexico want to finally make it to the quarterfinal, but they’ll need everyone to pitch in.

Back when odds were first posted, I took Mexico to advance from Group F at +135, but I’m not sure there’s much value now that it’s down to -105. Their second group match against South Korea will be tough, and while I’m not particularly high on Sweden, odds suggest that last group game will also be difficult.

The best bet on Mexico is to be eliminated in the Round of 16 at +200 odds. They’re expected to finish second in the group behind Germany, which means they’ll likely face Brazil in the Round of 16. No one will be picking Mexico to progress past the Brazilians, and their odds to do so will likely be at least +200. I’m not saying Mexico can’t pull off an upset, but you can easily hedge at that point to guarantee a profit.

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