Premier League Props: Dec. 30-31
The end-of-year fixture feast continues this weekend with a full slate of matches in the Premier League, and we’ve scoured the markets for our pick of the props for this weekend’s games.
Coutinho to make it four in a row?
Liverpool has an excellent record against Leicester at home, having not lost to the Foxes in Merseyside since May 2000.
More recently, Jurgen Klopp’s side won their home clash with Leicester in each of the last two seasons, and this season Liverpool also won the meeting between the pair at the Leicester by a 3-2 margin.
Liverpool has been in scintillating goal-scoring form, having scored 12 goals in their last three games, with Brazilian playmaker Philippe Coutinho opening the scoring in all three games.
He’s a +400 shot to repeat the trick this weekend.
PROP PICK: PHILIPPE COUTINHO TO SCORE FIRST @ +400 (William Hill)
United to shut out Saints
Southampton usually gives United a decent game. They beat United at Old Trafford in both the 2014-15 and 2015-16 seasons and have scored against United at United’s home stadium in four of their last five visits in the EPL.
On the face of it, that’s a pretty impressive statement, but there’s a notable caveat. Southampton hasn’t scored against United since Jose Mourinho took over the reins for United.
United has scored twice in each of its last three games, which suggests a Man U win is likely. But we’re on the hunt for prime props, and we’re looking at United to continue their run of shutting out the Saints under Mourinho.
PROP PICK: SOUTHAMPTON NOT TO SCORE @ -105 (WILLIAM HILL)
Clarets to terrorize the Terriers
Sean Dyche’s Burnley side is one of the success stories of the 2017-18 EPL season, with the Clarets’ away form one of the main reasons for their superb campaign so far.
Burnley currently sits seventh in the EPL standings, just five points off UEFA Champions League qualification, and they travel to Huddersfield Town hot on the heels of an impressive away showing at Old Trafford where they held Manchester United to a 2-2 draw.
Overall, Burnley has won four and drawn four of their 10 away games in the EPL to date, and against a Huddersfield side that has drawn three and lost three of their 10 home games so far, the value pick could lie in the Double Chance market, where you can back Burnley or the Draw together for -188.
PROP PICK: BURNLEY OR DRAW @ -188 (WILLIAM HILL)
Arsenal gunning for 29 in a row
A look back at the form between the two sides throws up something of a surprise. West Brom has actually been very good at home against Arsenal in the last few seasons.
The Baggies have won two and drawn one of their last four home EPL games against the Gunners, and they actually WON their home game against Arsenal in each of the last two seasons.
However, while that stat shows that West Brom has put up a strong, competitive showing against Arsenal in recent seasons, one thing has remained a constant for the last 30-plus years: WEST BROM CAN’T STOP ARSENAL FROM SCORING.
Despite their recent form at home against Arsenal, West Brom has conceded goals to Arsenal in each and every game they’ve played against them going all the way back to 1985. That’s a run of 28 consecutive games in all competitions where Arsenal hasfound the net at least once each time.
Add into the mix Arsenal’s recent goal-scoring form — they hit three at home against Liverpool on Dec. 22, then netted three more at Selhurst Park against Palace on Thursday night — and the over/under looks a good place to try for a solid prop bet with a semblance of value.
The Gunners can be had at -133 to score over 1.5 goals, and +250 to score over 2.5 goals. If Arsenal lines up with anything resembling a full-strength lineup in attack, that +250 looks a fair bet.
PROP PICK: ARSENAL TO SCORE OVER 2.5 GOALS @ +250 (WILLIAM HILL)