Barcelona vs Real Madrid Prediction | El Clasico Picks
Eric Alonso/Getty. Pictured: Ilkay Gundogan.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid Odds
| Barcelona Odds | +150 |
| Real Madrid Odds | +162 |
| Draw | +260 |
| Over / Under | 2.5 -154 / +120 |
In the 187th La Liga edition of one of the world’s best derbies, Barcelona welcome Real Madrid to the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys on Saturday for El Clásico.
Los Blancos hold a slight advantage in league matches, winning 77 and losing 74 to go along with 35 draws.
Coming into this fixture, Madrid have gotten off to a better start this season, sitting one point ahead of Barcelona in a tie for first in the Spanish top flight.
This is one of the biggest games in soccer, and we should have another great battle in this storied rivalry on match day 11.
Barcelona
After winning the league last season, Xavi had a lot of pressure to continue to bring success back to his former club as manager, especially with the financial hardships.
He could be faced with making some tough squad decisions with the current health status of some of his key players. Pedri, Jules Koundé and Sergi Roberto have all been ruled out of the derby.
Meanwhile, Pedri, Robert Lewandowski, Frenkie de Jong and Raphinha missed the midweek Champions League fixture, but Xavi hopes to have them for this huge match.
There were only 12 first-team players available for the win over Shakhtar Donetsk, and you will want to make sure you get confirmation on who will be back before betting on this match.
Real Madrid
Real Madrid also had some impactful injuries to start the campaign, losing both Thibaut Courtois and Éder Militão to season-ending injuries.
However, this hasn’t stopped Los Blancos from getting off to a great start in La Liga and the UCL. The key reason for this has been the form of summer signing Jude Bellingham.
The English star already has 11 goals and three assists in all competitions, which includes a league-leading eight scores in the Spanish top flight.
If he can continue to fill the void of Karim Benzema leaving the club, Madrid have a strong chance to push for titles this season.
Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Prediction
Whenever I look at betting on a big derby, it can be very challenging because of the passion and importance of the match. This is typically a game that includes goals, but I think the total is too high to play.
So, I will be looking in the corners market for my best bet, where I expect there to be more than 9.5.
If you start first with the hosts, Barcelona’s matches have averaged 10.7 corners per 90 minutes, with this same bet cashing in 60% of home games. This bet also would have hit in 2-of-3 Champions League fixtures.
Meanwhile, Madrid’s road games have had similar trends, posting an average of 10.17 corners per match. I also like how this bet has done when Los Blancos have played the tougher opposition on their schedule.
In the games against Athletic Club, Girona, Real Sociedad, Atlético Madrid, Sevilla and in the UCL, the corners total flew over this same number in 6-of-8 fixtures.
For the team losing this match late, they will be pushing for a goal until the final minute. When you combine that with the history of this rivalry typically having many goals, I really like the value of this prop.
Pick: Over 9.5 Corners (-125 via bet365)
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