Champions League Final Odds, Preview: How Pros Are Betting Liverpool vs. Tottenham

Champions League Final Odds, Preview: How Pros Are Betting Liverpool vs. Tottenham article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Mo Salah, Danny Rose

  • Liverpool will meet Tottenham in the 2018-19 Champions League Final on Saturday, June 1 at 3 p.m. ET at the Wanda Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain.
  • Betting odds have the Reds as big -220 favorites to lift the trophy while Spurs are +180 underdogs to win their first ever European competition.
  • We've previewed the match and broken down the betting market to find the best wagers to make.

Liverpool are competing in their ninth European Cup/Champions League Final, most of any English club, and are -220 favorites to lift the trophy over Tottenham.

Spurs are making their first ever appearance in a European Final and are the eighth different English side to do so. This will be the second ever all-English Champions League Final (Manchester United beat Chelsea in 2007-08).

2018-19 Champions League Title Odds

The Reds opened +1200 to win the Champions League back in August of 2018 and their highest odds reached +2000 following a 3-0 defeat in the semifinal first leg against Barcelona. Liverpool will be hoping to make amends from last year’s loss in the final, 3-1, to Real Madrid.

Tottenham were +2500 longshots when the tournament started and reached +2800 at their highest point in early February. Spurs were still available at +1050 odds prior to the semifinal second leg against Ajax.

Neither team topped their respective group, making Saturday the first time since 2010 that two non-group winners reached the Champions League Final (Inter Milan vs. Bayern Munich in 2009-10).

Injuries

LiverpoolCentral midfiedler Naby Keita (groin) will be the only player absent for Liverpool as Jurgen Klopp as a nearly fully healthy squad to choose from. Expect to see the dymanic trio of Mo Salah, Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino up top with a strong back-four of Virgil van Dijk, Joel Matip, Trent Alexander-Arnold and Andrew Robertson.

TottenhamBen Davies (groin) is the only Spurs player confirmed to be out. Stiker Harry Kane (ankle) could return to the starting XI, as could Jan Vertonghen, Harry Winks and Davinson Sanchez, who have all been nursing injuries.

Champions League Final Betting Breakdown

Keep in mind that all moneyline, spread and over/under bets are based on 90 minutes regulation and do not include extra time or penalty shootouts.

Liverpool have attracted nearly 80% of bets around the market since odds opened more than three weeks ago. Sharp bettors have sided with the public in this one and sportsbooks have been forced to adjust odds from -105 to -120, a 3.5% change in implied win probability.

There haven’t been any major changes to player statuses, indicating that line movement around the market has been driven by an influx of Liverpool bets and money wagered.

At William Hill’s 100+ sportsbooks across the United States, Liverpool have received just over half the bets and 75% of the money.

As usual, casual bettors are bypassing the draw completely as it’s accounted for less than 10% of all bet slips.

Just like in the Europa League Final, a slew of smart money has hit the over (2.5) to shift the juice from +100 to -125. I’d be very surprised to see the number hit 3 but it’s possible the way the total is trending.

Liverpool and Tottenham have combined for 3+ goals in their last four head-to-head meetings and the Reds won by a 2-1 scoreline in both matches this season. The familiarity of these teams should lend itself to offense even though there’s no guarantee that they’ll finish their chances.

A bet on the adjusted total of 3.5 (+195) is worth it for me, as is Liverpool winning by a 3-1 scoreline which pays out +1450. 

I’m also interested in James Milner scoring first (+1200) or last (+1200) as he’s Liverpool’s primary penalty kick taker and hardly ever misses.

Available Prop Bets (Regulation Time Only)

There are hundreds, if not thousands, of prop bets available for the Champions League Final. Here are some of the notable props being offered at a wide-range of sportsbooks.

Which team will score the first goal of the game?

  • Liverpool -165
  • Tottenham +150
  • No goals +1100

Will there be a penalty kick awarded?

  • Yes +250
  • No -300

Will there be an own goal?

  • Yes +1200
  • No -2000

Will both teams score a goal?

  • Yes -140
  • No +120

Will a substitute score goal?

  • Yes +350
  • No -550

Odds to keep a clean sheet:

  • Liverpool +160
  • Tottenham +340

Which team will have more corner kicks?

  • Liverpool -250
  • Tottenham +250
  • Draw +700

Will either team receive a red card?

  • Yes +350
  • No -500

More Links:

Where to watch the Champions League Final

Facts about the Champions League Final

Historical Champions League Winners