Burnley vs. Crystal Palace Odds, Picks, Predictions for Monday Premier League Match (Nov. 23)
Sebastian Frej/MB Media/Getty Images. Pictured: Crystal Palace star Wilfried Zaha.
- Betting odds suggest that Monday's Premier League match between Burnley and Crystal Palace will be a tight affair.
- Will the Clarets finally get their first win of the season, or will Palace continue their impressive 2020-21 campaign?
- Jeremy Pond previews Monday's first EPL match.
Burnley vs. Crystal Palace Odds
|Burnley Odds||+170 [BET NOW]|
|Crystal Palace Odds||+185 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+205 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (+138/-175) [BET NOW]|
|Time||12:30 p.m. ET|
Clubs going in completely different directions go at it Monday when Burnley hosts Crystal Palace in Premier League action.
The Clarets are in dire straits, sitting in 19th place out of 20 teams, and seek their first league win of the season. Burnley has been downright awful thus far, going 0-2-5 (W-D-L) through its first seven fixtures.
On the other side, Crystal Palace has silenced the naysayers thus far and finds itself on 13 points with a solid 4-1-3 record.
This is a massive game for both clubs for very different reasons, so let’s take a look at these sides and what’s on deck.
To say things are going terribly bad at Turf Moor would be an understatement.
The Clarets have scored just two goals over the course of seven league tilts, with its most recent goal coming in a 3-1 loss to Newcastle United on October 3 at St. James’ Park.
Burnley is just a point ahead of league cellar dweller Sheffield United, but could start easing its way out of the relegation zone with a win or draw in this ultra-important contest.
As you probably guessed, the Clarets have produced some brutal statistical data this season. Burnley sits on 5.4 expected goals and 8.3 expected goals against in league play.
Those numbers translate into a -2.9 xGDiff and -0.43 xGDiff/90 minutes, which have the Clarets looking up at most teams in the same categories.
Expected goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that gives an indication of whether results are based on sustainable factors like a steady creation of scoring chances, or whether it is down to aspects such as luck or outstanding goalkeeping.
It has been a season of excitement and exceeded expectations for the Eagles, who find themselves just three points from the top five on the table.
Manager Roy Hodgson has Crystal Palace playing a really nice brand of football that’s led to wins against Southampton and Manchester United along the way. If this proactive kind of play continues, there’s no reason to believe the club can’t contend for a Europa League berth down the stretch.
Wilfried Zaha continues to shine up top for the Eagles, leading the way with five goals in league action.
Defensively, things must improve for the outfit if they’re going to continue this early success. The back has been porous in many games, but a 4-1 win against Leeds United before the international break has me believing they could be turning the corner when it comes to those defensive woes.
When comparing statistical data, Crystal Palace is much better off than its counterpart in all advanced metrics. However, the Eagles don’t have a lot to brag about in any category as well.
Crystal Palace has compiled a mediocre 7.7 xGs and subpar 10.8 expected goals against, yielding a dismal -3.1 xGDiff and -0.40 for xGDiff/90 minutes.
On paper, this has a Crystal Palace win written all over it.
The Eagles are the better side and should have their way against the Clarets, who are just trying to get their heads above the relegation-zone water. That said, I do think Crystal Palace comes away with a positive result, but believe there’s better value on the overall scoring.
That being said, I am backing the total to go over the alternative number of two goals and both teams to score in this affair.
Crystal Palace has given up at least one goal in seven of their eight league fixtures, which has me optimistic Burnley can make it eight of nine in that trend. Add in the fact the Clarets and Eagles are conceding 1.5 goals per match, and you have to like the chances of both plays hitting at nice prices.
Picks: Total Over 2 Goals (-132) | Both Teams To Score — Yes (-104)