Premier League Odds, Picks, Prediction, Best Bets: Tottenham vs. West Ham United EPL Betting Preview (March 20)
Julian Finney/Getty Images. Pictured: Harry Kane
- Tottenham takes on West Ham United in Sunday’s Premier League clash.
- Harry Kane and Spurs, who are solid -135 favorites against the Hammers, are looking for another win.
- Brett Pund breaks down the game below and gets creative with a Single Game Parlay as his top pick.
Spurs vs. West Ham Odds
|West Ham Odds||+320|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-145 / +105)|
|Day | Time||Sunday | 12:30 p.m. ET|
|How To Watch||USA Network | fuboTV|
|Odds updated via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
Tottenham Hotspur and West Ham United close Premier League action for the weekend on Sunday with a very important London derby.
Spurs have picked up four wins out of their last six in the league to move up to seventh in the table on 48 points.
Meanwhile, the Hammers are equal on points with the North London club, but they have the three-goal edge in goal difference to sit in sixth.
Looking at the history of the fixture, Tottenham have lost just two of their last 19 EPL home games against West Ham, and it could be another spot to add to this record against the cross-town rival.
Spurs Improving Play Under Conte
The biggest improvement you have seen since manager Antonio Conte was hired has been the great offensive numbers from Spurs, where they rank third in the English top-flight in non-penalty expected goals per 90 minutes (1.56) and big scoring chances created (42), according to fbref.com.
If you look over the last six games, Tottenham have averaged 1.967 xG per match and scored 2.667 goals per contest, which is a stretch of matches that includes wins over Manchester City, Leeds United, Everton and Brighton.
One key contributor over this period has been star striker Harry Kane, who has found the back of the net in four straight and five of the last six in the EPL.
With Spurs eliminated from all cup competitions, they can put all of their focus on the league, and they need to keep piling up results for a chance to qualify for Europe next season.
West Ham Coming Off Big Europa Win
The big question around manager David Moyes’ side is how they will bounce back after the thrilling extra-time victory over Sevilla on Thursday to qualify for the quarterfinals of the Europa League.
Luckily, the game was at home, which helps avoid a difficult travel spot. However, the squad was stretched for 120 minutes in a very emotional fixture.
As far as their current form in the EPL, the Hammers only have one loss to Liverpool in their last six fixtures, posting a -0.3 expected goals difference in wins over Aston Villa, Wolverhampton Wanderers and Watford, and draws with Leicester City and Newcastle United.
One key piece will likely be missing from this contest, with joint-leading scorer Jarrod Bowen struggling with an injury issue that has kept him out of recent games.
Premier League Projections
Betting Analysis & Pick
Oddsmakers at BetMGM is expecting Tottenham’s great form to continue, listing Spurs as the -135 favorites on the moneyline to go with a total of 2.5.
I think that price is a bit too big to back the home side, but I don’t want to get behind a Hammers team off an emotional midweek game.
My best bet is a Single Game Parlay of Spurs to Win and Harry Kane to Score at +140 odds.
I laid out how well the England international has been playing lately, but you also have to look at his performances against West Ham over the years.
In his 19 matches against the Hammers, Kane has found the back of the net 11 times, with Leicester and Everton the only two clubs that he has scored more against.
You can also look at Kane to score anytime at even money for a safer play, although I do think pairing with a Spurs win is great value.
This game also means more to Tottenham because finishing in fourth is the only way the club can qualify for the Champions League next season. Meanwhile, West Ham likely has its priority on winning the Europa League, which would secure a UCL spot.
Give me the superstar striker on form against the team in a rough scheduling spot to get us to the window with this bet.
Pick: Single Game Parlay — Spurs ML & Harry Kane to Score (+140)