Saturday Premier League Updated Odds, Picks & Prediction: Wolves vs. Fulham Betting Preview
Mike Hewitt/Getty Images. Pictured: Fulham standout Aleksandar Mitrovic celebrates after scoring a goal.
Wolves vs. Fulham Odds
|Over/Under||2.5 (+105 / -145)|
|Day | Time||Saturday | 10 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
|Odds updated as of Saturday morning via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute soccer odds here.|
The Premier League returns this week with another full slate of games, with my focus on Fulham making a trip to Wolverhampton for Saturday’s contest.
Wolves started the campaign very well with a goal in the first six minutes of action against Leeds United. However, the Peacocks found the back of the net twice for a comeback victory on the opening day of fixtures.
Meanwhile, the Cottagers put up a spirited fight against Liverpool before settling for a 2-2 home draw to start their season back in the English top flight.
This feels like a game between clubs going in opposite directions, so I feel all the betting value is with the visitors to get a result.
The Portuguese connection continues at Wolverhampton after the side announced the signing of striker Gonçalo Guedes this week from Valencia.
The attacker joins Hwang Hee-chan and defender Nathan Collins as the new additions this summer for manager Bruno Lage, who desperately needs goals from his men this season.
These new players will need to hit the ground running, as last season’s leading scorer Raúl Jiménez is set for a spell on the sidelines after picking up an injury.
By The Numbers
- -24.4 — Wolves finished the 2021-22 campaign ranked 18th in the Premier League in xGDiff, according to fbref.com.
- +9.2 — Goalkeeper José Sá saved the club on many occasions last season, posting the best post-shot xG minus goals allowed mark in the EPL.
For a team that has been relegated in its last two attempts in the English first division, Fulham fans will feel good about how the side performed in the opening draw with Liverpool.
This came after a season in the EFL Championship, where manager Marco Silva’s men scored more than 100 goals and notched a +63 goal difference.
The Cottagers are hoping for a few more signings before the end of the transfer window, but they will take a point against the Champions League runners-up every day of the week.
By The Numbers
- 7 — In the 38 league games last season, Liverpool only allowed 1.4 xG or more this many times, which is what Fulham’s xG tally was last weekend.
- 1 — On the road in 2021-22, the Cottagers led the Championship in goals scored (50), goal difference (+27) and points secured (44) in the categories.
Betting Analysis & Pick
Wolves are a team I’m looking to bet against this season due to all of the poor metrics they had during the 2021-22 campaign. With that said, I’m backing Fulham on the Draw No Bet market at +120 odds via BetMGM as my best bet.
To go along with what I pointed out above, Lage’s side also struggled at home, finishing 14th in the EPL in points per game (1.26) and with more points away from Molineux Stadium.
The Cottagers are also a good price to win the match on the moneyline at +220, but I want the extra security in case this ends in a draw.
The Pick: Fulham — Draw No Bet (+120)