Sheffield United vs. Leicester City Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for Premier League: (Sunday, Dec. 6)
Visionhaus. Pictured: Leicester City star Jamie Vardy.
- Leicester City looks to get back to its winning form Sunday when it faces Sheffield United in a Premier League showdown.
- The Foxes are coming off a tough loss to Fulham earlier in the week at King Power Stadium.
- Dillon Essma breaks down the match and gives his top pick below.
Sheffield United vs. Leicester City Odds
|Sheffield United Odds||+275 [BET NOW]|
|Leicester City Odds||+102 [BET NOW]|
|Draw||+250 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||2.5 (-103/-122) [BET NOW]|
|Time||9:15 a.m. ET|
|How To Watch||Peacock Premium|
Brendan Rodgers and Leicester City look to get back to their winning ways Sunday when they face Sheffield United in a Premier League showdown.
The Foxes are looking to regain their prior form after a disappointing home loss to Fulham on Monday at King Power Stadium.
In contrast, the Blades hope to secure their first win of the season, as they are currently last on the 20-team table in England’s top flight.
Let’s see how these sides match up entering this contest at Bramall Lane.
The Blades were the promoted side that stayed up last season, finishing in an impressive ninth place. However, it appears Sheffield United might have been a one-hit wonder.
In their 10 matches this season, the Blades have racked up nine losses and a draw for a single point. Their sole positive showing came against lowly Fulham, which surprised Leicester City as previously mentioned.
When looking at the advanced statistics, I could argue Sheffield United might see some positive improvements in its favor at some point.
The Blades have scored four goals in relation to 12.03 xG and 9.74 NPxG. They have allowed 16 goals in relation to 16.91 xG and 16.15 NPxGA as well. While their goals allowed are where they should be, it appears they have been a bit unlucky in the attacking third.
That said, the numbers should come up somewhat to the mean at some point.
Speaking of its xG data, I would like to break down Sheffield United’s previous game. A 1-0 loss to West Bromwich Albion yielded a +1.65 xG differential in its favor. Somehow they generated zero goals on 3.37 xG, which frankly is impressive for all the wrong reasons.
Those are the games you need secure at least a point (ideally, all three points via win) when you create that many chances against a struggling side. Manager Chris Wilder needs to figure out a way to increase the finishing rate or I’m afraid the club is heading down.
The more concerning thing is on the defensive side of the ball. So far this season, the Blades are allowing 1.69 xGA/game, which is fourth worst in the league. Last season, that number was 1.37/game and a strength. Improving that would help Sheffield United’s case as well.
The Foxes have had somewhat of an up-and-down start to the season. They have yet to draw a match, but still sit in sixth place at the moment. Overall, Rodgers is probably okay with that due to the fact Sheffield United is on deck.
Leicester City’s xG data is skewed significantly by penalties. It’s NPxG/game is only 1.09. which relates to 1.47 compared last year. Plain and simple, the Foxes need to create more chances to be a top-5 side.
Defensively, the Foxes have struggled. The NPxG conceded this year for them is 1.43/game, relative to 1.06 last season. Basically, the numbers are flipped and that’s good enough for 10th; not 6th place. That 2-1 loss to Fulham from a team challenging for the top 4 was frankly unacceptable. However, the xG backs up the result, with it finishing in a 1.28-2.04 margin.
My theory when it comes to the Foxes’ struggles has to do with Europa League fatigue. Leicester City’s squad is not deep and is are dealing with injuries. The team has looked tired and flat.
The Foxes did rest stars James Maddison, Jamie Vardy, and Kasper Schmeichel in their latest fixture, though. On top of that, we saw Çağlar Söyüncü, Ricardo Pereira and Wilfred Ndidi all out for the first time this season.
If the latter three can return, that is a significant upgrade at center back, right back and center defensive midfielder. I think the xG data will significantly improve with those three added to the lineup. Rodgers clearly saw his guys needed a rest, and hopefully that will help come in this fixture.
Betting Analysis & Pick
I am going to back the Foxes on the road in this spot. As much as I do expect Sheffield United’s goal differential to improve, I can’t forecast that just yet.
That said, this is a good bounce-back spot for Leicester City, with it coming out firing on all cylinders. Add in the fact Rodgers rested guys midweek and the potential of some starters returning, I like the Foxes to get the three points.
Pick: Leicester City +102 (play down to -105)