Novak Djokovic vs. Dominic Thiem Betting Odds and Pick: Best Bets for the Australian Open Final


TENNIS PHOTO NETWORK/Getty Images. Pictured: Novak Djokovic

Feb 01, 2020, 01:56 PM EST

Sunday features the ATP Australian Open Final, beginning at 3:30 a.m. ET on Sunday morning in North America  — so you’ll need to get your bets in early.

Let’s examine today’s matchup, the 11th career head-to-head meeting between Novak Djokovic and Dominic Thiem.

New to betting on tennis or want to learn more about the sport? Click here to read our tennis betting primer.

Australian Open Final Best ATP Bets

Bet the Australian Open now at FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.

Novak Djokovic (-363) vs. Dominic Thiem | O/U: 38.5

  • Time: 3:30 a.m. ET
  • Where: Rod Laver Arena
  • H2H: Djokovic leads 6-4

Betting Odds History

Match Analysis

History is on the line in Melbourne, as defending-champion Novak Djokovic looks to extend his record to eight for eight in Australian Open finals, while Dominic Thiem tries to win his first Slam title after making his first final at a hard court major (0-2 at Roland Garros)

Thiem has won four of the past five matchups (three wins on Clay) against Djokovic, including a victory at the 2019 ATP Finals — where he also defeated Roger Federer.

But he remains a sizable underdog to the Serb here, in a best-of-five Slam match at an event where Djokovic is 68-8 (89.5%) lifetime; and never lost a semifinal or final.

Fatigue should be a concern for the Austrian – during the fortnight, Thiem has played 378 more points, 56 extra games, and been on the court for about five and a half hours longer than his opponent.

That’s equivalent to having a couple of extra early-round matchups on his legs; and also consider that Djokovic had an extra day of rest between the semifinal and final.

Generally, the more well-rested player has performed better during the later stages of this tournament, and it seems unlikely that Thiem would be able to outlast Djokovic in a lengthy battle.

Nevertheless, this remains an intriguing stylistic matchup, and Thiem has the rare opportunity to defeat two members of the Big Three on his way to a Slam title.

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Upgrade to EDGE to read more of Sean Zerillo's betting preview for Novak Djokovic vs. Dominic Thiem.

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories