Novak Djokovic vs. Dominic Thiem Betting Odds and Pick: Best Bets for the Australian Open Final

Credit:

TENNIS PHOTO NETWORK/Getty Images. Pictured: Novak Djokovic

Feb 01, 2020, 01:56 PM EST

Sunday features the ATP Australian Open Final, beginning at 3:30 a.m. ET on Sunday morning in North America  — so you’ll need to get your bets in early.

Let’s examine today’s matchup, the 11th career head-to-head meeting between Novak Djokovic and Dominic Thiem.

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Australian Open Final Best ATP Bets


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Novak Djokovic (-363) vs. Dominic Thiem | O/U: 38.5

  • Time: 3:30 a.m. ET
  • Where: Rod Laver Arena
  • H2H: Djokovic leads 6-4

Betting Odds History

Match Analysis

History is on the line in Melbourne, as defending-champion Novak Djokovic looks to extend his record to eight for eight in Australian Open finals, while Dominic Thiem tries to win his first Slam title after making his first final at a hard court major (0-2 at Roland Garros)

Thiem has won four of the past five matchups (three wins on Clay) against Djokovic, including a victory at the 2019 ATP Finals — where he also defeated Roger Federer.

But he remains a sizable underdog to the Serb here, in a best-of-five Slam match at an event where Djokovic is 68-8 (89.5%) lifetime; and never lost a semifinal or final.

Fatigue should be a concern for the Austrian – during the fortnight, Thiem has played 378 more points, 56 extra games, and been on the court for about five and a half hours longer than his opponent.

That’s equivalent to having a couple of extra early-round matchups on his legs; and also consider that Djokovic had an extra day of rest between the semifinal and final.

Generally, the more well-rested player has performed better during the later stages of this tournament, and it seems unlikely that Thiem would be able to outlast Djokovic in a lengthy battle.

Nevertheless, this remains an intriguing stylistic matchup, and Thiem has the rare opportunity to defeat two members of the Big Three on his way to a Slam title.

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