Carlos Alcaraz and Andrey Rublev clash in the Round of 16 at Wimbledon on Sunday, July 6. The match will tentatively start at 10:50 a.m. ET on Center Court and will be broadcast on ESPN.
Alcaraz, the two-time defending champion and World No. 2, will face his first big test this week on the London grass against Andrey Rublev.
Find my Wimbledon Round of 16 preview and Alcaraz vs Rublev prediction for Sunday below.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Andrey Rublev Player Prediction
- Alcaraz vs Rublev Pick: Alcaraz ML | Over 33.5 Parlay (-105, DraftKings)
My Alcaraz vs Rublev best bet is on Alcaraz moneyline and Over 33.5 total games. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live Wimbledon odds page.
Alcaraz vs Rublev Odds
| Carlos Alcaraz Odds | -1200 |
| Andrey Rublev Odds | +750 |
| Spread | Alcaraz -6.5 (-125), Rublev +6.5 (-110) |
| Over/Under | 33.5 (-120o / -110u) |
| Alcaraz vs Rublev H2H | 2-1 |
| Time | How to Watch | Sunday, 10:50 a.m. ET | ESPN |
| Odds via DraftKings | |
Carlos Avilan's Alcaraz vs Rublev Preview, Prediction
Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview
The road has probably been a bit longer than Alcaraz would have wanted.
Five sets against Fabio Fognini in his first match and another four on Friday to eliminate Jan-Lennard Struff could start taking a physical toll on the Spaniard, particularly if his greatest rival, Jannik Sinner, keeps swatting away opponents like flies every round with straight-set wins.
However, it would be uncharacteristic of Alcaraz if the efforts were not ingrained in his success. That's how he beat Sinner at Roland Garros and how he prevails no matter how tough you think the situation is.
The stats also show Alcaraz's dominance despite taking longer to dismiss his rivals. His first-serve points won success rate has ranged from 69-73%, and he has been cutting unforced errors each round, with fewer double faults as well.
His serve will prove decisive this time since Rublev is a great baseliner who could try to match him in longer rallies without missing a lot of shots.
Andrey Rublev Betting Preview
For Andrey Rublev, the "breather" came in the last match. After fighting hard to get four-set wins over Laslo Djere and Lloyd Harris, the Russian managed to advance to the Round of 16 after only three sets versus Adrian Mannarino.
Rublev excelled at the net, winning all 10 points played upfront, and also had 80% of points won on first serve. His level of play will need to keep rising if he wants to put the defending champion in trouble.
His precise forehand will keep him in the game, but to beat the Spaniard, he must mix and match.
Although not his preferred surface, Rublev's performance is pretty level on every court. What he lacks so far is the next step, a leap forward against the very best.
This is his shot. Here is one great opportunity to prove he belongs at the top.
Alcaraz vs Rublev Predictions, Betting Analysis
Alcaraz won in Paris, rested a bit, and then came back to also claim the title at the Queens' Club Championship to prepare on grass for Wimbledon. He remains the guy to beat.
Meanwhile, Rublev has never reached the semifinals of any Grand Slam in his career.
The head-to-head favors Alcaraz (2-1). Both victories for the Spaniard were indoors at the Nitto ATP Finals in 2023 and 2024, while Rublev won on clay last year in Madrid.
This match could spell trouble for the defending champion if his legs aren't still fresh, although not enough to risk his victory.
Pick: Alcaraz ML | Over 33.5 Parlay (-105, DraftKings)
