Iga Swiatek vs. Coco Gauff French Open Odds, Predictions, Preview (June 4)
John Berry/Getty. Pictured: Coco Gauff.
- Iga Swiatek takes on Coco Gauff in the women's French Open final on Saturday morning.
- Swiatek finds herself as a heavy favorite in the middle of a 34-match winning streak.
- Our experts are split on the total here and they explain why below.
Swiatek vs. Gauff Odds
|Total||19.5 (-110 / -145)|
|Time||9 a.m. ET|
|Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.|
Iga Swiatek will take a 34-match winning streak into the French Open final, where she’ll take on American teenager Coco Gauff.
The world No. 1 has been dominant on the WTA Tour over the past three months, amassing five titles and going undefeated since a Feb. 16 loss to Jelena Ostapenko.
Gauff comes into this match two years removed from her breakout run to the fourth round at Wimbledon. She’s reached multiple Slam fourth rounds since then, and she also made the US Open doubles final in 2021.
In fact, she’s in contention for the French Open doubles title this year as well, partnering with fellow American Jessica Pegula.
Here is how our experts are betting the French Open final.
David Gertler: Iga Swiatek has now won 34 matches in a row with a 15-0 record on clay in 2022.
Swiatek’s forehand is world-class, and she does a great job of controlling the baseline with her forehand. However, Swiatek is hitting with a high level of controlled aggression from the backhand, as well. There’s very little to exploit in her game at the moment.
Gauff has still not dropped a set at the French Open so far. Her backhand allows her to take command of the baseline, as she hits with both precision and power from that wing.
While Gauff’s forehand is usually erratic, the red clay gives her more time to set up on her forehands and she’s been steadier from that side.
We clearly have the right final, as both players have played superb tennis. Gauff’s forehand will be the weakest shot on the court, but she’s done well to stay consistent from that wing and use her forehand aggressively when she has an opening.
Swiatek has the pressure of winning 34 matches in a row but seemed calmer than Gauff in the semifinals.
Though Gauff doesn’t have overwhelming power, if she can keep a lot of balls on her powerful backhand wing, she can rush Swiatek.
Swiatek will almost certainly win this match, but attacking Gauff’s forehand is not going to be as effective as it has been for opponents in the past, and her backhand can force the Pole to play more defense than she would want.
I’ll look for this match to be extended.
Pick: Over 19.5 games (+100 via PointsBet)
Jon Reid: It’s been one hell of a year for Swiatek, and there’s absolutely no reason to start doubting her now.
Having won 32 consecutive tour-level matches (34 in total, including the Billie Jean King Cup), and having dropped just six sets along the way, it’s pretty clear the best way to attack this final is backing Swiatek.
The world No. 1’s impressive records date back a few years though, even as she wasn’t nearly as dominant across surfaces. Keep in mind, dating back to 2020. Swiatek is 34-3 on clay courts.
The serve has improved immensely, the forehand — both in terms of pace and topspin — is the best by a country mile on clay courts on the women’s tour, the backhand is much more solid and her return game is also head and shoulders above the rest of the competition.
In terms of the matchup with Gauff, things bode well for her on paper. She has closed the gap on the backhand wing, has a serve that can now go toe-to-toe with Gauff’s, and even if Gauff is serving well, she has the best return game in the business to neutralize that.
Then there’s the forehand, which may legitimately be the largest discrepancy for any one groundstroke we’ve seen in a women’s final in decades. It’s simply too difficult to fathom how Gauff overcomes the gulf in quality on that wing in this final.
Finally, in terms of nerves, we saw the Pole falter a tad through a three-set stretch against Danka Kovinic and Qinwen Zheng. Since the first set against the Chinese youngster, however, she has been locked in.
The youthful American, however, has looked good but hasn’t had head-turning performances the last few rounds.
Pick: Under 19.5 games (-120 via FanDuel)