Jannik Sinner and Denis Shapovalov meet in the third round of the US Open today. The match is tentatively scheduled to start at 7:00 p.m. ET on Arthur Ashe Stadium and will be broadcast on ESPN.
These players have only met once in their careers, back in 2021, when Shapovalov beat Sinner in the first round of the Australian Open. Sinner, of course, is a much different player now than he was then — does the Canadian have any shot against the world No. 1?
Find my Sinner vs Shapovalov prediction and US Open pick for Saturday, August 30, below.
Sinner vs Shapovalov Prediction
- Sinner vs Shapovalov Pick: Under 29.5 (-110)
My Sinner vs Shapovalov best bet is Under 29.5 total games. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live US Open odds page.
Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Odds
| Sinner Odds | -5000 |
| Shapovalov Odds | +2000 |
| Spread | Sinner -8.5 (-105), Shapovalov +8.5 (-135) |
| Over/Under | 29.5 (-125o / -110u) |
| Sinner-Shapovalov H2H | 0-1 |
| Time | How to Watch | Saturday, 7:00 p.m. ET | ESPN |
| Odds via DraftKings | |
Jannik Sinner vs Denis Shapovalov Preview, Prediction
Sinner Betting Preview
The World No.1 and reigning US Open champion keeps trucking with a full head of steam toward another final. He is not invincible, but unless it's Carlos Alcaraz in front of him, you tend to think so.
Not even a great start is enough, as Grigor Dimitrov and tennis fans around the globe understood during Wimbledon, when Sinner seemed to be on the back foot.
The Italian has won all six sets in previous rounds in Flushing Meadows, and only Alexei Popyrin managed to win three games in a set against him.
Sinner has showcased his amazing footwork and used his well-known return to throw off his rivals in any situation where they might think they have an advantage.
On Thursday, Sinner neutralized Popyrin's powerful serve and gave him some of his own medicine by winning 80% of first-serve points.
Shapovalov Betting Preview
Shapovalov has a misleading advantage. He dominates the head-to-head against Sinner, which consists only of that victory at the 2021 Australian Open.
The exact same stat was true for Sinner in his last match, as Popyrin had also defeated him in their only matchup in 2021, when the Italian wasn't this force of nature on the ATP circuit.
Sinner might even be relishing the opportunity to erase that advantage and keep the revenge tour going.
However, Shapovalov is not without weapons. He thrives on hard courts, ranking 39th in the ATP Elo ratings for this type of court, with a 57.1% winning percentage and all four of his titles on this surface.
The Canadian will also need his best service game, not only in quantity but also in efficacy. In the second round, he hit 29 aces but incurred 15 double faults, while having a mere 53% of first serves in.
Sinner vs Shapovalov Prediction, Betting Analysis
Shapovalov is a notorious risk-taker, not only serving but also with his groundstrokes, which is probably the only way to rattle a player like Sinner.
The Canadian did poorly in his last two Masters 1000 tournaments and will probably need his best day to come away with a win today.
Sinner is not likely to allow him to get going for so long, particularly when the road to victory might take five sets.
Look for the Italian to handle business again.
Pick: Under 29.5 (-110, DraftKings)
