Wednesday ATP Betting Preview: Can Jeremy Chardy Keep Rolling?

Wednesday ATP Betting Preview: Can Jeremy Chardy Keep Rolling? article feature image
Credit:

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jeremy Chardy

The Highlights

  • Tennis action continues on the grass from Halle and Queen’s Club on Wednesday.
  • Our best bet of the day comes at Queen’s Club, where Jeremy Chardy (+105) takes on Daniil Medvedev (-120).

Decent day for us Tuesday, as our hitter — Feli Lopez (+135) — as well as our three leans (Nick Kyrgios, Karen Khachanov and Adrian Mannarino) all came away with wins.

Let’s keep it rolling on Wednesday with another full slate of tennis from Halle and London. Action will begin at 6 a.m. ET in Halle and then an hour later at the Queen’s Club.

In Halle, a few matches of interest caught my eye. Domi Thiem (-400) and Yuichi Sugita (+275) will meet in a matchup of two players with vastly different levels of comfort on grass courts. In one corner, Thiem has struggled on the green stuff over the years — and, in the other, we’ll find Sugita — who excels on the lawn.

Sugita let us down last week against Marius Copil, losing from a break up in the third set. And it was almost déjà vu all over again for Sugita in Halle against Marterer, but he found a way through. I ultimately think he’s got a shot to give Domi trouble on the grass, but I’m not sure I trust him enough to close.

If you’re looking for additional action, I’d maybe try Sugita +1.5 sets, which looks like a decent option.

Elsewhere, in London, I was impressed by Uncle Leo Mayer’s performance against Kevin Anderson on Tuesday. He should have a shot once again as the underdog (-105) against Frances Tiafoe, who has less than impressive career results on the lawn. Mayer served really big versus KA and was cracking his forehand with authority.

I also expected a larger line in the match between Stan Wawrinka and Sam Querrey, who thrives on grass. At -167, Querrey looks like an ideal parlay piece. Stan cruised in his last match against Cameron Norrie — but Norrie is nothing special on quicker surfaces. I’m not too intimidated by the 6-2, 6-3, scoreline the Swiss posted.

Let’s now get into Wednesday’s ATP daily hitter.

Daniel Medvedev (-120) vs. Jeremy Chardy (+100)

When: Not before 9 a.m. ET
Where: London, UK
Surface: Grass
H2H: N/A

I watched Meddy’s last match against Jack Sock — and he handled the big forehand of the American well on the grass in his first match at Queen’s.

That should pay off against another big forehand on the menu for him on Wednesday. This time, he’ll go up against the formidable “fearhand” of Frenchman Jeremy Chardy. And I fancy Medvedev’s chances of getting through this one as well.

Chardy is enjoying arguably the best stretch of his career, but fatigue should catch up to him shortly. Chardy has now played eleven matches over the past two weeks. For a guy who relies upon booming serves and massive forehands — I’m into the idea of taking him on, given the mileage on his legs.

Also, Medvedev likes to rally backhand-to-backhand with other right-handed players (a luxury he didn’t have in his loss last week to Fernando Verdasco). If he can keep a lot of exchanges on the Chardy backhand — you’ve got to like his chances of winning the majority of those points.

But, ultimately, this one comes down to the fatigue of the Frenchman. Frankly, if both were fully fresh — I think this would still be a “pick ’em” match. But, given the amount of tennis that Chardy has played lately, I priced Medvedev closer to -150 in this one. And with the current line at -120 — I see a lot of value with the Russian.

Give me Meddy.

The Pick: Daniil Medvedev (-120)