The New York Liberty (13-9) and Minnesota Lynx (16-6) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. EDT at Target Center in Minneapolis, Minn. The game will be broadcast live on ABC.
The Lynx are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 174.5 (-105o / -115u). The Lynx are a -200 favorite to win outright, while the Liberty are +165 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Liberty vs. Lynx predictions and WNBA picks.
Liberty vs. Lynx Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -105 | 174.5 -105o / -115u | +165 |
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -115 | 174.5 -105o / -115u | -200 |
- Liberty vs. Lynx Spread: Liberty +4.5 (-105), Lynx -4.5 (-115)
- Liberty vs. Lynx Over/Under: 174.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Liberty vs. Lynx Moneyline: Liberty +165, Lynx -200
- Liberty vs. Lynx Best Bet: Lynx -4.5 (-115)
Liberty vs. Lynx Preview
The Minnesota Lynx prepare to host the New York Liberty in a heavy-hitting cross-conference battle at the Target Center.
Minnesota enters the matchup sitting strong at 16-6 overall and protecting a 10-1 record against Western Conference opponents. However, they have been a bit more vulnerable on their home floor than expected, compiling a 6-4 record in Minneapolis.
The Lynx boast one of the elite defensive units in the league, giving up just 80.7 points per game while making life miserable for opposing shooters by limiting them to 40.7% from the field.
Offensively, Minnesota efficiently converts 48.0% of its field goal attempts, which sits more than four percentage points higher than New York’s season average allowed to opponents.
New York heads on the road looking to steady the ship after an 88-77 setback against the Dallas Wings, a game where Breanna Stewart did everything she could with a brilliant 29-point performance.
The Liberty hold a 13-9 overall record and dominate the East at 8-1, matching that with a balanced 6-4 record away from home.
New York thrives on the glass, cleaning up 34.5 rebounds per contest behind the steady presence of Jonquel Jones, who pulls down 9.1 boards per game.
This marks the second meeting between these powerhouses this year, following New York's 99-86 victory on July 3 where Stewart detonated for 36 points.
Injury reports will play a massive factor, as Minnesota is navigating the absences of Emma Cechova and star Napheesa Collier, while New York monitors Pauline Astier and Rebecca Allen alongside the confirmed absences of Leonie Fiebich and Satou Sabally.
Liberty vs. Lynx Prediction
When targeting the betting angle for this matchup, the play centers on backing the Minnesota Lynx at -4.5. This recommendation relies heavily on the analytical insights derived from the WNBA Sharp Action system developed by Evan Abrams.
This system specifically targets instances where there is a meaningful disparity between opening and closing point spreads, isolating situations where the line shifts decisively in one direction while the actual percentage of overall bet tickets remains relatively low.
With early professional conviction heavily adjusting the market line toward the home favorites, laying the points with the Lynx at -4.5 provides the strongest systematic value.
Best Bet: Lynx -4.5 (-115)
