The New York Liberty (12-8) and Toronto Tempo (9-10) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 3:00 p.m. EDT at Bell Centre in Montreal, QC. The game will be broadcast live on NBA TV.
The Liberty are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 176.5 (-112o / -108u). The Liberty are a -280 favorite to win outright, while the Tempo are +6.5 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Liberty vs. Tempo predictions and WNBA picks.
Liberty vs. Tempo Odds, Pick
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -114 | 176.5 -112o / -108u | -280 |
| Tempo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -106 | 176.5 -112o / -108u | +220 |
- Liberty vs. Tempo Spread: Liberty -6.5 (-114), Tempo +6.5 (-106)
- Liberty vs. Tempo Over/Under: 176.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Liberty vs. Tempo Moneyline: Liberty -280, Tempo +220
- Liberty vs. Tempo Best Bet: Nyara Sabally and Julie Allemand Player Props
Liberty vs. Tempo Prediction
Nyara Sabally’s first season with the expansion Tempo has featured impressive flashes, but her health remains a major question mark.
Sabally missed Friday's contest against the Dallas Wings after leaving Wednesday’s game early due to a left knee injury. While she enters today officially listed as questionable, her lingering knee issues create a severe cap on her offensive ceiling.
Even if Sabally suits up against her former Liberty teammates, she is highly likely to operate under a strict minutes restriction or share frontcourt reps heavily with Laura Juskaite and Isabelle Harrison.
Against a physical New York defense, expecting Sabally to carry a heavy scoring workload over extended minutes is a tough sell. PRO Projections peg Sabally’s true scoring output at 7.68 points today, well below the 9.5 threshold, giving this prop a massive 22.1% edge.
The Pivot if Sabally is Out
If Sabally is ultimately ruled out before tip-off, bettors don't have to look far for a high-value alternative play. Action Network's PRO systems have isolated a secondary edge on Toronto's primary floor general, Julie Allemand, in the assist market.
Allemand has been an exceptional facilitator for Toronto this season, averaging 5.4 assists per game. However, her assist total line is set at a bloated 7.5 assists.
With Toronto missing multiple key offensive pieces, including Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice, the Tempo's overall team shooting percentage drops dramatically, directly impacting Allemand's potential assist conversion rate.
PRO Projections model Allemand for 6.14 assists against a disciplined Liberty perimeter defense, giving the Under 7.5 Assists a strong 14.1% edge.
Whether Sabally plays or sits, the data heavily favors fading these elevated player prop totals.
The primary play remains Sabally Under 9.5 Points, as any combination of missed time or limited minutes works directly in favor of the Under.
If news breaks that Sabally is sidelined, pivot seamlessly to Allemand Under 7.5 Assists to capture a secondary double-digit edge.
Feel free to parlay these picks should Sabally be ruled active.
Picks:
- Nyara Sabally Under 9.5 Points
- Julie Allemand Under 7.5 Assists
