Bills vs Jets Player Prop: Expert Bet on Gabe Davis for Monday Night

Bills vs Jets Player Prop: Expert Bet on Gabe Davis for Monday Night article feature image

Kevin Sabitus/Getty Images. Pictured: Gabe Davis.

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Monday, Sept. 11
8:15 p.m. ET

Gabe Davis

Under 46.5 Receiving Yards (FanDuel)

This is a brutal matchup for Davis, who will be matched up against Sauce Gardner and D.J. Reed on most of his routes.

Davis is a downfield threat, but the Jets allowed the third-lowest Success Rate on targets of 20 or more yards down the field. Josh Allen will have more success targeting the middle of the field with Deonte Harty or Dalton Kincaid.

The Bills were also willing to slide Stefon Diggs into the slot to avoid Gardner and Reed last season. They did not do that with Davis.

Buffalo's offensive line also has a tough test against the Jets' elite pass rush. Allen will likely face a ton of pressure and may not have as much time to throw down the field.

On the other side of the ball, Aaron Rodgers-led offenses typically play at a snail's pace, which can lower the total number of plays that the opposing team can run.

I'm projecting Davis' median closer to 42.5, but he has a wide range of outcomes and is more likely to finish closer to his floor.

Pick: Gabe Davis Under 46.5 Receiving Yards
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