Download the App Image

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin Boxing Odds: Updated Lines, Props and More For Saturday’s Fight

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin Boxing Odds: Updated Lines, Props and More For Saturday’s Fight article feature image
Credit:

Kevork Djansezian/Getty Images. Pictured: Boxers Canelo Alvarez (L) and Gennady Golovkin (R).

The long-awaited trilogy fight between Canelo Alvarez (57-2-2, 39 KO) and Gennadiy Golovkin (42-1-1, 37 KO) is finally here after the two first met in 2017 and again in 2018. The two champions famously fought to a draw in the first meeting and Alvarez won a close decision in the second bout. The third bout will take place at the T-Mobile Arena Saturday night on DAZN.

While both men have been linked to each other in the years since their last battle, Alvarez has catapulted to the top of the sport and currently holds all the belts in the super middleweight division. He’ll put those belts on the line against Golovkin who has become Canelo’s key rival.

So how do oddsmakers see this matchup playing out? Read on for the odds and prop lines for this super fight.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin Odds

Odds as of Wednesday and via Caesars.

Fighter Odds Probability
Alvarez -500 80%
Golovkin +380 20%

Alvarez is a massive favorite against Golovkin entering their third bout despite coming off the second loss of his career at the hands of Dmitry Bivol.

It’s tough to argue against Alvarez being the favorite considering how much he’s improved since he and GGG last fought. Until his most recent loss, Alvarez showed that his dominance can span multiple weight divisions and he became the undisputed champion at 168 pounds.

Golovkin fought once already this past April, but he was inactive for 15 months prior to this year. At 40 years old, it appears Golovkin still has something left in the tank, but that isn’t moving the odds much in his favor. In fact, GGG moved from +320 at open to +380.

And much like the first two fights, this fight is expected to go to the judges’ scorecards with the juice on the distance prop and the over 10.5 rounds.

Alvarez vs. Golovkin Props

Round Totals Over Under
10.5 Rounds -230 +175
Fight Goes the Distance? Yes (-155) No (+122)
Method of Victory Alvarez Golovkin
KO/TKO/DQ +150 +850
Decision/Technical Decision +105 +650
Draw +2000 +2000

Click here to see all round props
Winning Group of Rounds Alvarez Golovkin
Rounds 1-3 +1800 +5500
Rounds 4-6 +800 +3500
Rounds 7-9 +500 +2500
Rounds 10-12 +550 +2800
To Win Fight in Round Alvarez Golovkin
Round 1 +6500 +10000
Round 2 +5000 +10000
Round 3 +4000 +10000
Round 4 +3000 +10000
Round 5 +2400 +8000
Round 6 +2000 +8000
Round 7 +1600 +6500
Round 8 +1400 +6500
Round 9 +1400 +6500
Round 10 +1400 +6500
Round 11 +1600 +6500
Round 12 +1800 +8000

Alvarez Fight History

Alvarez is not stranger to being a big favorite, but as we saw in his fight against Bivol, that’s not a guarantee that he’ll walk over his opponent. It’s notable, though, that Alvarez closed as a dog in his first two fights against Golovkin and is now a -500 favorite.

Date Opponent-Result Closing Odds
5/7/22 Dmitry Bivol -420
11/6/21 Caleb Plant -800
5/8/21 Billy Joe Saunders -625
2/27/21 Avni Yildirim -3300
12/19/20 Callum Smith -600

Golovkin Fight History

GGG will likely be in unfamiliar territory. Among the fights tracked by Pro Boxing Odds, Golovkin hasn’t been an underdog dating back to 2016. Typically and massive favorite in his own right, his two previous fights against Alvarez have been his closest based on the odds.

Date Opponent-Result Closing Odds
4/9/22 Ryota Murata -420
12/18/20 Kamil Szeremeta -2750
10/5/19 Sergiy Derevyanchenko -641
6/8/19 Steve Rolls -3100
9/15/18 Canelo Alvarez -210

Alvarez vs. Golovkin Card

  • Jesse Rodriguez vs. Israel Gonzalez
  • Ali Akhmedov vs. Gabriel Rosado
  • Austin Williams vs. Kieron Conway
  • Diego Pacheco vs. Enrique Collazo

How would you rate this article?