Oscar Best Costume Design Predictions, Odds: Cruella Favored Over Dune and West Side Story, Picks For 2022 Nominees

Best Costume Design Nominee Odds

Best Costume Design Predictions

Collin Whitchurch: The BAFTAs dominate this category from a predictability standpoint, hitting 12 times since 2000.

The Costume Designer’s Guild has broken their top awards up into three genres since 2005: Contemporary, Period and Sci-Fi/Fantasy. Period has hit with the most frequently over that span with eight wins, while Sci-Fi/Fantasy has hit five times and Contemporary has hit zero.

All of this aligns to give Cruella a rare win over powerhouse Dune.

Cruella won the CDG’s Period award and also at the BAFTAs. Dune won the Sci-Fi/Fantasy award at the CDGs, while Coming 2 America — not nominated here — won the Contemporary prize.

Given that more people probably saw Dune than Cruella, I’m giving it an outside shot at pulling the upset here, but don’t like it enough at +320 to throw down any money on it. Similarly, Cruella’s juice is too high for me to eat it given the possibility that Dune wins. Cruella is the pick, but I won’t be wagering any money here.

Pick: Cruella

Chris Raybon: Over 90% of Gold Derby experts and editors are picking Cruella to win. Its listed odds imply only an 82% chance, so there’s some value here relative to the listed odds, but -450 isn’t worth the trouble.

Pick: Pass

More 2022 Oscar Predictions

• A Guide To Betting Every Category: Senior editor Collin Whitchurch breaks down his take on every category, including which are worth betting vs. passing.
• Gold Derby Experts vs. the Odds: Senior betting analyst Chris Raybon compares predictions by Gold Derby's experts and editors to the odds in order to identify potential values.
• 5 More Best Bets: Senior betting analyst Collin Wilson reveals his picks for both supporting actor awards, plus Best Picture and Best Adapted Screenplay.