Perry: The Players I’m Betting to Miss the Cut at TPC Sawgrass
Orlando Ramirez, USA Today Sports. Pictured: Phil Mickelson
The Players isn’t a major, but the bookmakers definitely give it some special treatment compared to the standard PGA event.
We’re treated to a wider array of prop bets including one of my favorites, the missed cut.
The Players is a tough tournament to project and we’re usually able to get good odds on golfer with bad histories at TPC Sawgrass to miss the weekend.
I’ve picked out a six pack I’m targeting to struggle.
Phil Mickelson +165
Mickelson and Sawgrass just haven’t seen eye to eye in recent years.
He’s missed the cut in five of his last six starts and actually gave serious consideration to sitting out this week because he doesn’t believe this is a course he can win on anymore. I don’t expect to see a fully-engaged Phil this week.
Jordan Spieth +175
Even when Spieth was at his best, Sawgrass gave him problems.
He finished fourth in his debut, but since then he’s missed three of the last four cuts. Couple that with some of struggles in his current form and it’s not hard to see him missing the weekend.
Cam Smith +175
Smith is one of my favorite plays on a lot of courses, but not here.
He’s missed the cut in both appearances and usually sees a dip in his putting stats on Bermuda greens. That’s trouble for someone as reliant on their short game as Cam is.
Gary Woodland +200
Woodland has had a couple good results at Sawgrass.
But has also missed five of the previous seven cuts. Woodland played really well in the fall and the early part of 2019. But the form has dipped slightly for him and now he’s heading to a course where he’s struggled for consistency.
Charles Howell III +200
Speaking of consistency, Howell is the epitome of it.
Unless we’re at Sawgrass. He’s missed six of nine cuts and prior to last year’s 17th place finish, he hadn’t been inside the top 50 in over a decade.
Rickie Fowler +350
Last but not least is Fowler, former champ and runner up here.
But outside of those two results, he’s missed six of seven cuts with only a 60th place finish to show for it. When Rickie is on, he can obviously win, but when he off, big numbers lurk everywhere that can sink his rounds.
With the plus numbers, I’m hoping 3 or 4 of these guys fall by the wayside and we can turn a decent profit.