2021 British Open Props: Perry’s Picks For Top Asian & Spaniard Player, More
Chris Trotman/Getty Images. Pictured: Sergio Garca.
Another major means another deep list of prop bets this week.
The Open Championship probably gives us the biggest mix of worldwide players across multiple tours, which can lead to some value for the lesser-known players.
Top Asian: Takumi Kanaya +550
No bet on the board was affected more by the multiple withdrawals than this one. With Hideki Matsuyama out due to COVID-19 and the Korean duo of Sungjae Im and Si Woo Kim focusing on the Olympics, there is an interesting mix here.
I’m backing Kanaya because he’s the only one of the group who’s had success in Europe in the past month. CT Pan and Byeong Hun An are around the same number, but have really struggled in the U.S. the past couple months. An is probably the bigger threat and does have a stronger history at the Open. He won at Wentworth in what seems like a lifetime ago now, but the form has disappeared for him this season
Jazz Janewattananond has been playing in Europe but has missed four of five cuts and has two MCs in his only Open starts.
The two who worry me the most against Kanaya are his Japanese compatriots Ryosuke Kinoshita and Yuki Inamori. Kinoshita has two wins in Japan in his last three starts and Inamori enters fresh off a second place finish at the Japan PGA Championship. Neither has much of a history in Europe, but if the form from Japan carries over, they could make a cut and that might just be good enough to win this group.
Top Spaniard: Sergio Garcia +375
Obviously, we’re taking on the tournament favorite here in Jon Rahm, but I like our chances at this number.
Sergio has bested Rahm in three of the four Opens they’ve played. Granted this will be the best version of Rahm at this event.
The other three Spainards in the group (Rafa Cabrera-Bello, Jorge Campillo and Gonzalo Fernandez-Castano) have not done much here. RCB has a fourth place at the event in 2017, but that appears to be more of an outlier with no other top 20s in seven appearances this past decade.
3 Ball: Jon Thomson +500 over Gooch and Pan
This is the first time I’ve seen the bomber known as “Jigger” listed as simply Jon anywhere, but that’s what FanDuel has gone with this week for the first round 3ball.
Thomson is a big guy, listed at 6-foot-9, who hits the ball a mile and is playing in his home county against two guys from the TOUR who have no track record on this type of course.
With his length comes volatility in scoring, but he was just one shot off the lead after 36 holes a couple weeks back on the Challenge Tour. So despite a string of missed cuts, he’s capable of putting one solid day together. And he’s going against two guys who have never seen the weekend at an Open Championship, so it’s not hard to see both struggling on their own accord.
It’s a shot in the dark against a guy from a small tour, but I’ll take a chance that the links knowledge of the Englishman gives him some value at this price.