Valspar Championship 2021 Betting Odds: Justin Thomas, Corey Conners Among Favorites at Copperhead Course

Valspar Championship 2021 Betting Odds: Justin Thomas, Corey Conners Among Favorites at Copperhead Course article feature image
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Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas

  • Justin Thomas, Dustin Johnson and Corey Conners are among the favorites for the 2021 Valspar Championship at the Copperhead Course just outside of Tampa, Fla.
  • Conners is the biggest surprise of the bunch; he's finished top 10 in four of his last five events, including THE PLAYERS and The Masters.
  • Get full Valspar Championship odds below.

The PGA TOUR wraps up the Florida portion of its schedule this week with the 2021 Valspar Championship at the ever-popular Copperhead Course at Innisbrook Golf Resort in Palm Harbor, Fla.

The field for the Valspar certainly feels top heavy as there are seven members of the OWGR top-20 making the trip to western Florida. That said, there is a clear twosome to beat at Copperhead this week.

The Favorites

Dustin Johnson (+1000) may be the World No. 1, but World No. 2 Justin Thomas (+900) is the betting favorite this week. JT hasn’t played all that much over the last few months but he’s made an impact when he has teed it up. Thomas has a win at THE PLAYERS and four top-20 finishes in his seven starts worldwide in 2021. Copperhead’s narrow fairways and challenging greens will put an emphasis on ball-striking and JT certainly passes that test as he ranks second on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Approach this year.

While Thomas has been consistent for most of the year, DJ has been a bit out of sorts since finishing T8 at the Genesis in mid-February. Despite the dip, the 2020 Masters champion is still commanding a lot of respect from oddsmakers at 10/1. Johnson may be a bit out of form, but we aren’t that far removed from DJ’s torrid run between the end of 2020 and beginning of 2021, so draw a line through DJ at your own risk.

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Perhaps the most surprising price on the board this week is Corey Conners at +1400. While Conners has certainly put together an impressive stretch of golf over the past year, to see his name above the likes of Patrick Reed (+1600), Viktor Hovland (+2000), Tyrrell Hatton (+2200) and Sungjae Im (+2500) is a bit jarring. Long a a trendy sleeper pick among hardcore bettors because of his immaculate ball-striking, Conners has now played his way into the mainstream.

Paul Casey, the two-time defending champion at this event, is also just behind Conners at +2000. Not only does Casey have tremendous course history at Innisbrook, but the 43-year-old has also enjoyed a great start to 2021. Casey is coming off a missed cut at the RBC Heritage, but if you look past that you’ll see that he’s collected a win and six top-12 finishes in eight starts worldwide in 2021.

Abraham AncerRussell Henley and Scottie Scheffler round out this section of the board at +2800.

Mid-Tier

A couple of wily veterans headline this section of the board, starting with Louis Oosthuizen (+3300). Still searching for his first-ever win in the United States, Louis finished runner-up with Charl Schwartzel at last week’s Zurich Classic. Oosthuizen has yet to miss a cut in 2021 and has a pair of top-11 finishes (not including the Zurich) to his name this year. Louis will often fly under the radar because he hasn’t ever won in this country but his performance at the Zurich will likely keep his name in play this week.

Justin Rose (+4500) could be one to keep your eye on this week. The former World No. 1 seemed to have put the pieces of his game back together at Augusta and that could be enough for bettors at this price.

Although not as drastic as Conners, the price on Emiliano Grillo (+4000) is a head-turner. The 28-year-old Argentinian has long tempted bettors at big prices thanks to his terrific ball-striking, but he could never quite put the rest of his game together to be worth backing consistently. That may not be the case anymore, though, as Grillo is coming off a runner-up finish at the RBC Heritage and has finished 22nd-or-better in five of his last seven starts.

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Ezra Shaw/Getty Images. Pictured: Henrik Stenson.

Notable Longshots

When a player is as out of sorts as Henrik Stenson (+20000) was since the restart in 2020 you are looking for baby steps back towards contention. Well, the Swede has shown minor signs of a resurgence lately with a T38 at Augusta and a T11 (playing with Rose) at the Zurich Classic. Those results are nothing to write home about, but considering that Stenson missed six cuts in a row before The Masters, they may get your Stenson senses percolating just a little bit at a number this deep.

I would advise you to stay away from betting Phil Mickelson to win, even at +15000. Perhaps Lefty can get hot and sneak his way onto the leaderboard, but if you want to be a part of that journey you may be better off betting Phil to be first-round leader or to finish inside the top-20.

If you’re the type of person who gets a kick out of throwing a fiver on someone way down the board then Camilo Villegas (+25000) could be your man this week. At 250/1, you can’t expect Villegas to win, but he could provide you with a fun sweat with the way he’s played of late. Villegas has missed his fair share of cuts this year, but he’s also finished T8 at the Honda, T17 at the Valero (where he was the first-round leader) and T25 at the RBC Heritage, so he’s certainly shown he can give himself a chance in a field like this one.

2021 Valspar Championship Odds

via DraftKings

Player Odds
Justin Thomas +900
Dustin Johnson +1000
Corey Conners +1400
Patrick Reed +1600
Paul Casey +2000
Viktor Hovland +2200
Tyrrell Hatton +2200
Sungjae Im +2500
Abraham Ancer +2800
Russell Henley +2800
Scottie Scheffler +2800
Louis Oosthuizen +3300
Jason Kokrak +3500
Joaquin Niemann +3500
Emiliano Grillo +4000
Charley Hoffman +4000
Ryan Palmer +4500
Justin Rose +4500
Cameron Tringale +4500
Chris Kirk +5000
Lucas Glover +5500
Kevin Na +5500
Kevin Streelman +5500
Bubba Watson +6000
Max Homa +6600
Charles Howell III +6600
Keegan Bradley +7000
Denny McCarthy +7000
Gary Woodland +7000
Sam Burns +8000
Talor Gooch +8000
Adam Hadwin +8000
Doug Ghim +9000
Lanto Griffin +9000
Alex Noren +9000
Steve Stricker +9000
Cameron Davis +10000
Branden Grace +10000
Mackenzie Hughes +10000
Erik van Rooyen +10000
Zach Johnson +10000
Kevin Kisner +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Russell Knox +10000
Ryan Moore +10000
Cameron Champ +12500
Tom Hoge +12500
John Huh +12500
Ian Poulter +12500
Brice Garnett +15000
James Hahn +15000
Bo Hoag +15000
Sam Horsfield +15000
Martin Laird +15000
Tom Lewis +15000
Luke List +15000
Adam Long +15000
Phil Mickelson +15000
Matthew NeSmith +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Rory Sabbatini +15000
Adam Schenk +15000
Chase Seiffert +15000
Brandt Snedeker +15000
Sepp Straka +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Peter Uihlein +15000
Danny Willett +15000
Chez Reavie +17500
Jhonattan Vegas +17500
Ryan Armour +20000
Wyndham Clark +20000
Jason Dufner +20000
Tyler Duncan +20000
Rasmus Hojgaard +20000
Mark Hubbard +20000
Kyoung-hoon Lee +20000
Danny Lee +20000
Troy Merrit +20000
Cameron Percy +20000
Pat Perez +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Doc Redman +20000
Sam Ryder +20000
Charl Schwartzel +20000
Roger Sloan +20000
Scott Stallings +20000
Kyle Stanley +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Brian Stuard +20000
Richy Werenski +20000
Aaron Baddeley +25000
Joseph Bramlett +25000
Byeong-Hun An +25000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +25000
Austin Cook +25000
Chesson Hadley +25000
Keith Mitchell +25000
Henrik Norlander +25000
Scott Piercy +25000
Patrick Rodgers +25000
Camilo Villegas +25000
Wesley Bryan +35000
Bronson Burgoon +35000
Rafael Campos +35000
Kevin Chappell +35000
Will Gordon +35000
Brandon Hagy +35000
J.B. Holmes +35000
Andrew Landry +35000
Jamie Lovemark +35000
Peter Malnati +35000
Graeme McDowell +35000
Kristoffer Ventura +35000
Vincent Whaley +35000
Scott Brown +50000
K.J. Choi +50000
Luke Donald +50000
Brian Gay +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
Scott Harrington +50000
David Hearn +50000
Jim Herman +50000
Kramer Hickok +50000
Beau Hossler +50000
Satoshi Kodaira +50000
Chase Koepka +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Hank Lebioda +50000
William McGirt +50000
Grayson Murray +50000
Sean O’Hair +50000
Rob Oppenheim +50000
Ted Potter Jr. +50000
Robby Shelton +50000
Hudson Swafford +50000
Vaughn Taylor +50000
D.J. Trahan +50000
Kevin Tway +50000
Jimmy Walker +50000
Xinjun Zhang +50000
John Augenstein +100000
Jonas Blixt +100000
Michael Kim +100000
Hunter Mahan +100000
Rod Perry +100000
D.A. Points +100000
Kevin Stadler +100000
Martin Trainer +100000
Nick Watney +100000
Bo Van Pelt +100000

 

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