2022 Genesis Invitational Updated Betting Odds, Predictions: 3 Picks for Riviera, Including Matthew Fitzpatrick, Hideki Matsuyama

2022 Genesis Invitational Updated Betting Odds, Predictions: 3 Picks for Riviera, Including Matthew Fitzpatrick, Hideki Matsuyama article feature image

Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Hideki Matsuyama

Click here for full updated Genesis Invitational odds from PointsBet
Jon Rahm+1000
Patrick Cantlay+1100
Justin Thomas+1500
Dustin Johnson+1600
Rory McIlroy+2000
Cameron Smith+2200
Collin Morikawa+2200
Hideki Matsuyama+2200
Viktor Hovland+2200
Xander Schauffele+2200
Scottie Scheffler+2800
Will Zalatoris+2800
Bubba Watson+3300
Matthew Fitzpatrick+3300
Brooks Koepka+3500
Sam Burns+3500
Adam Scott+4000
Jordan Spieth+4000
Im Sung-jae+5000
Marc Leishman+5000
Max Homa+5000
Talor Gooch+5000
Tony Finau+5000
Joaquin Niemann+6000
Seamus Power+6000
Luke List+6600
Si Woo Kim+6600
Paul Casey+7000
Russell Henley+7000
Sergio Garcia+7000
Jason Kokrak+8000
Kevin Na+8000
Maverick McNealy+8000
Thomas Pieters+8000
Abraham Ancer+9000
Alexander Noren+9000
Patrick Reed+9000
Cameron Tringale+10000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+10000
Corey Conners+10000
Erik Van Rooyen+10000
Harold Varner III+10000
Lanto Griffin+10000
Mackenzie Hughes+10000
Tom Hoge+10000
Adam Hadwin+12500
Jhonattan Vegas+12500
Robert MacIntyre+12500
Sahith Theegala+12500
Aaron Wise+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Francesco Molinari+15000
Keegan Bradley+15000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Jones+15000
Matt Kuchar+15000
Patton Kizzire+15000
Ryan Palmer+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
Aaron Rai+17500
Andrew D. Putnam+17500
Joel Dahmen+17500
Russell Knox+17500
Branden Grace+20000
Cameron Davis+20000
Cameron Young+20000
Charley Hoffman+20000
Doug Ghim+20000
Min Woo Lee+20000
Mito Guillermo Pereira+20000
Pat Perez+20000
Rickie Fowler+20000
Sebastian Munoz+20000
Taylor Pendrith+20000
Cameron Champ+25000
James Hahn+25000
Lee Hodges+25000
Patrick Rodgers+25000
Wyndham Clark+25000
Beau Hossler+30000
Charl Schwartzel+30000
Chez Reavie+30000
J. J. Spaun+30000
JT Poston+30000
Matt Wallace+30000
Matthew NeSmith+30000
Scott Stallings+30000
Vincent Whaley+30000
Brendan Steele+35000
Dylan Frittelli+35000
Emiliano Grillo+35000
Andrew Landry+40000
Doc Redman+40000
Harry Higgs+40000
Robert Streb+40000
Sepp Straka+40000
Adam Long+50000
Adam Schenk+50000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+50000
Danny Lee+50000
David Lipsky+50000
Henrik Norlander+50000
Kramer Hickok+50000
Kyle Stanley+50000
Michael Brennan+50000
Peter Malnati+50000
Sam Ryder+50000
Scott Piercy+50000
Anirban Lahiri+60000
Brian Stuard+60000
Hank Lebioda+60000
Jaekyeong Lee+75000
Kevin Tway+75000
Roger Sloan+75000
Aaron Beverly+100000
Brandon Hagy+100000
Chesson Hadley+100000
Nick Watney+100000

Nothing much to report from Phoenix. Bets made the cut but never really scared a top-5 finish.

The odds trend held with Scottie Scheffler and Patrick Cantlay meeting in a playoff to ensure another winner under +4000.

Now we go to the Genesis Invitational, where again the edge has been toward the stars in this loaded field.

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The Course

Riviera Country Club in Los Angeles measures in at 7,340 yards for a par 71 and it ranks as one of the toughest tests from tee to green on TOUR. Each year, it tends to have some of the hardest fairways and greens to hit.

Since players often struggle to find the fairways and greens, I put more of an emphasis on scrambling at Riviera than I would during a normal tournament.

On easier courses, that doesn’t come into play as much, because if players are scrambling, then they aren’t usually creating enough birdie chances to win anyway. But on this course, the winner will likely need to find a way to get up and down five or six times per round.

This course has also favored bombers in recent years. Bubba Watson has won three times in the last eight years. Dustin Johnson and J.B. Holmes also have wins here during that time frame. Last year, Tony Finau looked to have the title before falling to Max Homa in a playoff.

Prior to that run, though, shorter hitters like Steve Stricker, Bill Haas, Aaron Baddeley and John Merrick also had success here. When in doubt, it’s probably best to favor length, but a shorter hitter who stays out of trouble can also contend.

The Favorites

Jon Rahm sees a small dip to +900 in his price in an even stronger field than last week. Just like everywhere else, this is another course where Rahm has been solid, finishing inside the top 20 in all three starts.

Patrick Cantlay is next in line at +1200. He's on a string of four straight starts with no finish worse than 17th here.

Dustin Johnson, Justin Thomas and Collin Morikawa make up that next group between +1600 and +1800. DJ is always popular here. He won in 2017 and has finished inside the top 10 in seven of his last eight starts. Thomas has a spotty record here include one of his more memorable blow-ups when he let a lead slip to JB Holmes in 2019 with a final round 75. Morikawa still hasn't really contended in two starts.

Rory McIlroy, Victor Hovland, Cameron Smith, Hideki Matsuyama and Xander Schauffele wrap up the top of the board. This course sets up nicely for each of these guys and they've all put up good results. Of the group, I'm actually going to make a play in this range with Matsuyama at +2500 on bet365. He's been inside the top 11 in four of his last six starts here. He's coming off a good ball striking week in Phoenix. Masters champs have a strong record here with DJ, Watson and Adam Scott winning recently, so I don't mind starting my card in this range with a guy in good form.

Bet on Matsuyama and get $500 in bet credits. NJ only.

The Midtier

We'll open here with Sungjae Im at +4000 on DraftKings. Im hasn't played well here yet but it's a course I believe should fit him better than it has. He's been playing well, coming off a sixth at the Farmers on another course he hadn't really popped up at before. His game is trending toward a big result and I'm hoping we can get ahead of it before a string of solid results bring him back down closer to the favorites.

My last play will be Matthew Fitzpatrick at +4500 on bet365. Fitz is coming off a solid all-around week where he gained strokes across the board in Phoenix. He used a similarly strong all-around game last year here to finish fifth. He's a guy who's had nothing but success across Europe and should have the short game to handle the difficulty Riviera possess.

Bet Im or Fitzpatrick at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

The Longshots

No outrights here, but I'll be keeping tabs on the Top 20 odds for Taylor Pendrith and Cameron Young. Both bombers can get hot with the putter and have the distance to overpower any course they come across.

They're probably not ready to take down a field of this caliber, but they are in good enough form to play well for four days and get a good result.

The Genesis Card

  • Hideki Matsuyama +2500 (1.32 units)
  • Sungjae Im +4000 (.83 units)
  • Matthew Fitzpatrick +4500 (.73 units)

Total Stake: 2.85 units

Bet Riviera at Caesars and get a $5,000 risk-free first bet.

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