2022 Honda Classic Odds & 5 Longshots Picks, Including Hudson Swafford & Nicolai Hojgaard

2022 Honda Classic Odds & 5 Longshots Picks, Including Hudson Swafford & Nicolai Hojgaard article feature image

Cliff Hawkins/Getty Images. Pictured: Hudson Swafford.

  • The PGA TOUR begins its stretch through Florida with the Honda Classic this week.
  • Without some of the usual starpower, there's value further down the odds board at PGA National.
  • Shane McNichol breaks down five longshots he sees value in this week below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Honda Classic odds via PointsBet

2022 Honda Classic Odds

Sungjae Im+1200
Daniel Berger+1400
Tommy Fleetwood+1600
Joaquin Niemann+2000
Billy Horschel+2200
Brooks Koepka+2200
Louis Oosthuizen+2200
Shane Lowry+3000
Alexander Noren+3300
Keith Mitchell+3300
Brian Harman+3500
Aaron Wise+4000
Matthew Wolff+4000
Cameron Young+5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Mackenzie Hughes+5000
Matt Jones+5000
Mito Guillermo Pereira+5000
Taylor Moore+5000
Denny McCarthy+5000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+6000
Patrick Reed+6000
Gary Woodland+6600
Lucas Glover+6600
Russell Knox+6600
Ryan Palmer+6600
Charles Howell III+7000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+7000
Chris Kirk+7000
Lee Westwood+7000
Nicolai Hoejgaard+7000
Rickie Fowler+7000
Ian Poulter+8000
Michael Thompson+8000
Stewart Cink+8000
Lucas Herbert+9000
Aaron Rai+10000
Brendan Steele+10000
Brendon Todd+10000
Garrick Higgo+10000
Martin Kaymer+10000
Taylor Pendrith+10000
Zach Johnson+10000
Adam Svensson+12500
Beau Hossler+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Dylan Frittelli+12500
Greyson Sigg+12500
Kevin Streelman+12500
Mark Hubbard+12500
Nick Taylor+12500
Padraig Harrington+12500
Patrick Rodgers+12500
Sam Ryder+12500
Sepp Straka+12500
Alex Smalley+14000
Camilo Villegas+15000
Danny Willett+15000
Davis Riley+15000
Doc Redman+15000
Doug Ghim+15000
Hayden Buckley+15000
Henrik Stenson+15000
Hudson Swafford+15000
J. J. Spaun+15000
John Huh+15000
JT Poston+15000
Kramer Hickok+15000
Matthew NeSmith+15000
Matthias Schwab+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Vaughn Taylor+15000
Harry Higgs+17500
Adam Schenk+20000
Austin Smotherman+20000
Charl Schwartzel+20000
David Lipsky+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Nate Lashley+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Ryan Armour+20000
Satoshi Kodaira+20000
Brandon Hagy+25000
Brian Stuard+25000
Brice Garnett+25000
Bronson Burgoon+25000
Dylan Wu+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+25000
Nick Hardy+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Andrew Kozan+25000
Andrew Novak+30000
Anirban Lahiri+30000
Jason Dufner+30000
Jimmy Walker+30000
Kevin Tway+30000
Kyle Stanley+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Paul Barjon+30000
Peter Uihlein+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Trey Mullinax+30000
Tyler Duncan+30000
Brian Gay+35000
Austin Cook+40000
Bill Haas+40000
Brandon Wu+40000
Jim Herman+40000
Justin Lower+40000
Kurt Kitayama+40000
Seth Reeves+40000
Wesley Bryan+40000
Alan Morin+50000
Ben Kohles+50000
Brett Drewitt+50000
Callum Tarren+50000
Chase Koepka+50000
Chris Stroud+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
David Skinns+50000
Dawie Van Der Walt+50000
Erik Compton+50000
Grayson Murray+50000
Jared Wolfe+50000
Jim Knous+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Kyle Westmoreland+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Max McGreevy+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Richy Werenski+50000
Seung-yul Noh+50000
Tyler McCumber+50000
William McGirt+50000

Looking for longshots is no easy feat this week. The PGA Tour swings from the West Coast to Florida, meaning the players who have been in top form could be thrown off by new greens and grass styles.

That geographical change also makes this week a popular spot for top players to take a week off. None of the top 10 players in the world will tee it up this week, opening the door for a lesser name to earn a win while drastically changing the betting odds of some juicier names down the board.

In a week that should be wide open, this collection of five players has a nice balance of recent success and horses for the course at PGA National.

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Nicolai Hojgaard +7000

This is a fascinating spot for Hojgaard. Not long ago, he was considered the lesser of the Hojgaard twins, trailing behind his brother Rasmus in terms of accolades and world ranking.

In recent months, however, it's been Nicolai storming through the international golf scene. In his last 12 worldwide tournaments, all coming on the DP World Tour (formerly known as the European Tour), Nicolai has two victories, four top fives, and seven top 20 finishes. He's done the majority of his damage with his driver, ranking in the top five in the world in True Strokes Gained: Off the Tee, per DataGolf, over the last six months.

Consistency has been an issue, however. In the five tournaments in his last 12 events where he didn't finish in the top 20, he failed to make the cut. Now he's arriving Stateside for his first ever event on the PGA Tour. He's been hot and cold, but if he catches a hot spot, he'll contend this weekend. Sportsbooks are all over the map on his odds, with FanDuel pricing him as low at +4100. At 70- 1 on BetRivers, he's a steal.

C.T. Pan +7000

I really like this spot for C.T. Pan. He's coming off of a top 10 finish last week at Riviera and returns to a course where he has had success in the past.

He was in the top five at the Honda Classic last season, earning a T3 finish. Back in 2018, he grinded his way to a T17 finish, despite losing more than a stroke to the field on the greens with his putter.

He's had three finishes of T11 or better since the Tour kicked back into gear in the fall and is due for a win, now nearly two full years after his first and only PGA title at the RBC Heritage.

Hudson Swafford +10000

With the Tour jumping from the West Coast to Florida, I have my eye out for players who are swinging the club well but not capitalizing on the greens. Swafford has been solid with his irons, ranking fifth in the world in True Strokes Gained over the last six months, yet he has one of the most trick-or-treat putters on Tour lately.

At the RSM Classic, he gained over +3.5 strokes with his approach shots but gave most of it back with an ice cold putting week and missed the cut. A few months later at the American Express, Swafford again struck the ball exceptionally and backed it up with the second-best putting week in the field, propelling him to a win.

I like his chances to settle his putter down returning to the East Coast. Swafford is a Florida native who lives in Georgia and should feel more comfortable on and around the greens at PGA National this weekend.

Bet Hudson Swafford at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Aaron Rai +10000

In his first season as a member on the PGA Tour, Rai has hit the ground running. He's made eight out his first nine cuts on Tour, peaking with a T6 finish at Torrey Pines.

Rai has always used his ability to get the ball off the tee successfully to contend and has shown an ability to convert when he is contending in the final round. Rai won three times on the Challenge Tour and twice on the then European Tour, including the 2020 Scottish Open which featured some big names.

It is only a matter of time before Rai kicks down the door and wins a PGA Tour event. At these odds, I'll jump on him.

Brandon Hagy +30000

This line jumped off the page when I first scrolled in my search for longshots. Hagy is being offered as low at +12000 at FanDuel, in large part because of his prior success at this event.

Hagy was solo second at the Honda Classic last year and has two other top 25 finishes in four career starts at this venue. He's gained the fourth most strokes per round at PGA National of any player in this week's field.

Hagy is one of just four players in this week's field to have three or more top 25 finishes at the Honda Classic in the last five years, joining Michael Thompson, Brendan Steele, and Lucas Glover. All three of those players are offered at +14000 or lower by DraftKings. I'll take the dice roll at 300-1 for Hagy, even if he's been ice cold recently.

Bet Brandon Hagy at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

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