2022 Masters Odds, Picks, Predictions: Russell Henley, Si Woo Kim Among 5 Sleepers To Target
Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Russell Henley.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Masters odds via BetMGM
2022 Masters Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+8000|
|Harold Varner III||+15000|
|Erik van Rooyen||+20000|
|Min Woo Lee||+25000|
|Jose Maria Olazabal||+250000|
Rejoice, golf fans. We have finally made it to Masters week.
This year’s wait has felt longer than normal. Maybe because last spring we only had to wait a few months after the COVID-delayed 2020 Masters was played in the fall. Maybe, instead, it’s because last year’s tourney, capped by a win by Hideki Matsuyama, had us so starved for more.
Whatever the case may be, I have been itching for this week for a long time, even writing up a look at 2022 Masters futures in November 2021. While one of those picks, a staunch denial that Tiger Woods would be ready by this week, is starting to look sour, the research and pure enthusiasm behind thinking about the Masters for the past few months has me ready to make some picks.
With the size of the Masters field, it can be harder to find dark horses who have a real chance to contend. Augusta National, however, is such a unique test that past performance looms large and makes certain players stand out from the field.
These five players, all currently paying 55-1 or higher, catch my eye as possible sleepers this week.
Corey Conners +5500 (DraftKings)
You can count the number of players to top-10 each of the last two Masters on one hand, and that group includes Conners.
Players with Top 10s at both Masters last season:
— Fantasy Golf Pod (@fantasygolfpod) April 3, 2022
He’s only played the Masters three times, yet he’s never missed a cut and has multiple top 10 finishes to his name. For a player with limited Augusta exposure, Conners has been absolutely dialed with his irons when approaching greens at the Masters.
Most strokes gained ball striking (off tee + approach) at #TheMasters last 4 years (min. 10 rounds)
Dustin Johnson, 1.99
Corey Conners, 1.67
Jon Rahm, 1.61
Justin Thomas, 1.44
Bubba Watson, 1.40
Brooks Koepka, 1.38
— Justin Ray (@JustinRayGolf) April 4, 2022
Conners also enters the week playing some strong golf, earning third place at the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play and T11 at Bay Hill. He may not be a big name, but he should absolutely be a name on your watch list this week.
Russell Henley +6600 (BetMGM)
Henley’s record at Augusta rides a bit under the radar, in part because he has not been successful enough elsewhere on Tour to earn trips to the Masters year after year. Henley has only played five of the last nine Masters Tournaments, yet has performed well in his chances on the big stage.
After missing his first cut back in 2013, Henley has made four in a row, with top 15s in each of his last two appearances. Only three of his last 12 rounds at Augusta have been over par.
Like Conners, Henley enters this week playing well. He is a perfect 11-for-11 making cuts this season, with top 15 finishes in four of his last five stroke-play tournament. Per the numbers at DataGolf, Henley leads all players in this week’s field in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last six months.
Time and time again, iron play has proven invaluable at the Masters. Taking the guy swinging his irons the best of late is a smart place to start.
You’ll even notice that Henley’s value fluctuates by sportsbook. BetMGM’s offer of +6600 looks pretty tasty compared to just +3500 at DraftKings.
Si Woo Kim +10000 (BetMGM)
Sometimes, with a venue like Augusta, it can be difficult to divorce the names on the board from their past stories at the Masters. On paper, wipe away the name, and Si Woo Kim’s resume stands out as one to watch this week.
He’s made his last four cuts at Augusta, peaking with his best performance yet in 2021, where he finished T12. He also did so without a putter for the final four holes on the back nine on Saturday, after snapping it in frustration.
Another year of experience and hopefully a better mindset should put Kim in a position to play well this weekend. He has five top 20s this FedEx Cup season and is coming in hot. He was 2-1-1 at the Match Play against a tough draw and was T13 last week at the Valero Texas Open.
Webb Simpson +13000 (DraftKings)
When rifling off the list of players who always seem to play well at Augusta, Webb Simpson doesn’t come to mind for most. US Open? Sure. But Simpson at Augusta?
To start his career, Simpson struggled among the azaleas. He only made three of his first six cuts at Augusta and never finished higher than T28. Since 2018, however, something has clicked for Simpson at the Masters. He’s finished in the top 20 four times in a row, including T5 in 2019.
The only player to beat Webb Simpson in each of the last three Masters is Jon Rahm.
This pick requires a little faith, though. Simpson is ice cold right now, having not finished in the top 40 of a full field, stroke play event since November of 2021. If you value Augusta success more than recent success, Simpson should be a name on your list.
Kevin Na +20000 (BetRivers)
Kevin Na has a somewhat similar past at the Masters. He struggled early in his career, until gaining some real experience and putting it to good use. After missing his first two cuts at Augusta, Na has finished in the top 15 in four of his last eight starts.
That includes each of the last two Masters Tournaments, where he has overcome some tough Thursday rounds to battle into the weekend. In both 2020 and ’21, Na’s only over-par round has come in his first round of the tournament before he steadied the ship to finish in the top 15.
Na’s work around the greens comes in handy around the tricky curves of Augusta. He’s been the second best player in the world around the green over the last year, according to strokes gained metrics from DataGolf. Even if Na’s swing isn’t at its best, his work with his wedges can keep him alive.