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Memorial Tournament 2022: Odds & Expert Picks for Xander Schauffele, Max Homa, More

Memorial Tournament 2022: Odds & Expert Picks for Xander Schauffele, Max Homa, More article feature image
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Andrew Redington/Getty Images. Pictured: Xander Schauffele.

  • An elite field is at Muirfield Village this week for the 2022 Memorial Tournament.
  • With a history of big names winning this tournament, Joshua Perry is focused on the top of the board this week.
  • Check out Perry's picks and full betting card below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Memorial Tournament odds via BetMGM

2022 Memorial Tournament Odds

Golfer Odds
Jon Rahm +1000
Rory McIlroy +1100
Patrick Cantlay +1600
Xander Schauffele +1800
Collin Morikawa +2000
Jordan Spieth +2000
Cameron Smith +2200
Matt Fitzpatrick +2500
Shane Lowry +2500
Viktor Hovland +2500
Hideki Matsuyama +2800
Will Zalatoris +2800
Cameron Young +3300
Max Homa +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Joaquin Niemann +4000
Mito Pereira +4000
Patrick Reed +4000
Davis Riley +4000
Chris Kirk +5000
Daniel Berger +5000
Seamus Power +5000
Corey Conners +6000
Abraham Ancer +6600
Keegan Bradley +6600
Billy Horschel +6600
Adam Scott +8000
Aaron Wise +8000
Bryson DeChambeau +8000
Jason Day +8000
Marc Leishman +8000
Matt Kuchar +8000
Alex Noren +8000
Brian Harman +10000
Cam Davis +10000
Gary Woodland +10000
Ryan Palmer +10000
Scott Stallings +10000
Si Woo Kim +10000
Tom Hoge +10000
Adam Long +12500
Brendan Steele +12500
C.T. Pan +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Harris English +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Lucas Herbert +12500
Matt Jones +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Adam Hadwin +15000
Anirban Lahiri +15000
Cameron Champ +15000
Denny McCarthy +15000
Erik van Rooyen +15000
Jhonattan Vegas +15000
K.H. Lee +15000
Keith Mitchell +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Luke List +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Patrick Rodgers +15000
Stewart Cink +15000
Troy Merritt +15000
Aaron Rai +15000
David Lipsky +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Alex Smalley +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Beau Hossler +20000
Doug Ghim +20000
Francesco Molinari +20000
Kurt Kitayama +20000
Lanto Griffin +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +20000
Matthew NeSmith +20000
Matthew Wolff +20000
Sepp Straka +20000
Nate Lashley +20000
Adam Svensson +25000
Chad Ramey +25000
Charles Howell III +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Emiliano Grillo +25000
Joel Dahmen +25000
Martin Laird +25000
Patton Kizzire +25000
Ryan Moore +25000
Sahith Theegala +25000
Adam Schenk +30000
Brandon Wu +30000
Brandt Snedeker +30000
Carlos Ortiz +30000
Charley Hoffman +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Peter Malnati +30000
Rafa Cabrera-Bello +30000
Taylor Moore +30000
Wyndham Clark +30000
Justin Lower +35000
Luke Donald +35000
Min Woo Lee +35000
Robert Streb +35000
Bo Hoag +40000
Brandon Hagy +40000
Garrick Higgo +40000
Hudson Swafford +40000
Kramer Hickok +40000
Camilo Villegas +50000
David Lingmerth +50000
Jason Dufner +50000
Jediah Morgan +50000
Nick Watney +50000
William McGirt +50000
Sam Ryder +50000
Chan Kim +75000
John Pak +75000
Ryan Brehm +75000
Curtis Luck +100000
James Piot +150000
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It was another week of close calls.

For a while, it looked like Davis Riley might steal one Sunday afternoon. But as he tends to do off the tee at the most inopportune time, he managed to spray a ball into a part of the golf course where no one had ventured all week. This time it was out of bounds, and the chance at victory evaporated. But he finished inside the top five, and Tony Finau did what he does best and backdoored a high finish, so the week wasn’t a total loss.

Now we shift from Colonial to another one of the TOUR’s more familiar destinations for the Memorial Tournament.

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The Course

Muirfield Village has been the host of the Memorial since 1976. It plays fairly long, clocking in at nearly 7,500 yards for a par 72.

The length may make people think distance will trump all, but the rough and water hazards still make precision off the tee important. Success has typically come from players with strong all-around games like Patrick Cantlay last year. Justin Rose and Hideki Matsuyama have also put together good track records here.

Those guys are all solid off the tee, but I wouldn’t really classify them as bombers. Even Matt Kuchar has figured out how to plot his way to a win and a handful of top-five finishes at Muirfield Village.

Distance helps as always but not at the expense of accuracy, and players usually need to find a happy medium between the two.

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The Favorites

Jon Rahm opens at the top here at +1000. Rahm won the event in 2020 and would likely have won again last year but was forced to withdraw with COVID while holding a six-shot lead going into the final round.

We’ve seen a couple of seven-shot comebacks the last two weeks, so Rahm’s lead there wasn’t entirely safe, but that sort of collapse is definitely the exception, not the norm. He got a win recently in Mexico, and this is clearly a good spot for him, so he’ll be a tough favorite to take down.

Rory McIlroy is right behind at +1100. McIlroy hasn’t really contended often here. His best finish was fourth in 2016, but he began that day five off the lead and played a solid final round to finish well. The form is solid. He’s been inside the top 10 in his only three starts since the Masters. But at basically the same price as Rahm on a course that’s never really been his best stop, it’s not hard to look elsewhere this week.

Patrick Cantlay is the last one in this range at +1800 and is the defending champ, albeit with an asterisk from the Rahm situation. But Cantlay also won here in 2019 and has four top 10s on the course, so this has been one of his best spots on the TOUR. Cantlay hasn’t been playing a ton recently. He lost to Jordan Spieth at the RBC Heritage in a playoff, then backed it up to win with Xander Schauffele at Zurich. But his only start in the past month was the missed cut at the PGA.

We have a large group in the +2000s including Jordan Spieth, Cameron Smith, Xander Schauffele, Collin Morikawa, Viktor Hovland, Shane Lowry, Hideki Matsuyama and Matthew Fitzpatrick. Hideki has a win here, and Morikawa won on this course in 2020 during the COVID season when it hosted back-to-back events, so they’ll draw attention this week. Cam Smith has never played well here, missing the cut four times in six starts with no finish better than 65th.

Of this group, I’ll actually be going with Xander Schauffele at +2200. Schauffele has followed up the team event win with a pair of strong results, finishing fifth at the Byron Nelson and 13th at the PGA.

Schauffele gained strokes in all four categories in both of those events, so the game should be in good shape across the board. He’s also finished inside the top 15 in his last four starts on this course, so he’s been solid here each year as well.

The best number on Schauffele is at bet365, and he’s around 20-1 at most other books.

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The Mid-Tier

I’ll open here with Max Homa at +4000 on BetRivers. We’ve seen wins come in bunches for guys like Scottie Scheffler and Sam Burns this season. Homa hasn’t been quite as prolific, but he’s got three in his last 32 starts. Homa also finished sixth here a year ago. He’s just kept on playing well since the Wells Fargo win, gaining almost seven shots on approach at the PGA and picking up ground in all categories last week at Colonial.

We’ll also go to Patrick Reed at +6500 on DraftKings. It appears he’s starting to figure things out again. He gained strokes in all categories for the first time since July 2021 at Colonial to finish seventh. He also gained a little over five strokes on approach at the PGA.

Reed’s game has seemed off, but he’s now made the cut in six of his last seven events, and with a top 10 result to go with it, he seems to be trending upward. He’s also finished inside the top 10 on three occasions here including fifth a year ago.

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The Longshots

With Schauffele at the top, there’s not really any more room for a longshot type play this week.

This hasn’t really been a course to back the longer odds anyway. There was a two-year blip on the radar when William McGirt and David Lingmerth won in back-to-back years, but there wasn’t much to show those two would pop up. Outside of that, it seems to be a course where the stronger players rise to the top.

The Memorial Card

  • Xander Schauffele +2200 (1.5 units)
  • Max Homa +4000 (.83 units)
  • Patrick Reed +6500 (.5 units)

Total Stake: 2.83 units

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