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Updated Mexico Open 2022 Odds & 7 Picks for Sahith Theegala, Gary Woodland, More

Updated Mexico Open 2022 Odds & 7 Picks for Sahith Theegala, Gary Woodland, More article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Sahith Theegala (left) and Gary Woodland.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Mexico Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Mexico Open Odds

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Jon Rahm +450
Abraham Ancer +1700
Gary Woodland +2000
Tony Finau +2000
Kevin Na +2500
Aaron Wise +3000
Cameron Champ +3000
Cameron Tringale +3000
Patrick Reed +3000
Sebastian Munoz +3000
Chris Kirk +3500
Aaron Rai +5000
Adam Long +5000
Brendon Todd +5000
Charles Howell III +5000
Doug Ghim +5000
Kevin Streelman +5000
Matt Jones +5000
Russell Knox +5000
Carlos Ortiz +6000
Cheng-Tsung Pan +6000
Davis Riley +6000
Mark Hubbard +6000
Sahith Theegala +6000
Alex Smalley +6600
Lanto Griffin +6600
Taylor Moore +6600
Anirban Lahiri +7000
Chad Ramey +7000
Scott Stallings +7000
David Lipsky +8000
JT Poston +8000
Pat Perez +8000
Patrick Rodgers +8000
Wyndham Clark +8000
Greyson Sigg +9000
Kramer Hickok +9000
Nate Lashley +9000
Tyler Duncan +9000
Adam Svensson +10000
Austin Smotherman +10000
Brandon Wu +10000
Brian Stuard +10000
Chase Seiffert +10000
Hank Lebioda +10000
Joseph Bramlett +10000
Michael Thompson +10000
Nick Taylor +10000
Scott Piercy +10000
Vaughn Taylor +10000
Vincent Whaley +10000
Adam Schenk +12500
Andrew D. Putnam +12500
Brice Garnett +12500
Danny Lee +12500
Dylan Wu +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Graeme McDowell +12500
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +12500
Peter Uihlein +12500
Rafael Cabrera Bello +12500
Robert Streb +12500
Ryan Armour +12500
Andrew Novak +15000
Ben Griffin +15000
Ben Martin +15000
Callum Tarren +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
James Hahn +15000
John Huh +15000
Justin Lower +15000
Kurt Kitayama +15000
Lee Hodges +15000
Matt Wallace +15000
Peter Malnati +15000
Roger Sloan +15000
Trey Mullinax +15000
Aaron Baddeley +20000
Bill Haas +20000
Bo Hoag +20000
Camilo Villegas +20000
Hayden Buckley +20000
Jason Dufner +20000
Kevin Tway +20000
Luke Donald +20000
Patrick Flavin +20000
Stephan Jaeger +20000
Ben Kohles +25000
Brandon Hagy +25000
Curtis Thompson +25000
Paul Barjon +25000
Richy Werenski +25000
Satoshi Kodaira +25000
Scott Brown +25000
Scott Gutschewski +25000
Seung-yul Noh +25000
Sung Kang +25000
Wesley Bryan +25000
Bryson Nimmer +30000
David Skinns +30000
Fabian Gomez +30000
Jared Wolfe +30000
Jonathan Byrd +30000
Max McGreevy +30000
Seth Reeves +30000
Austin Cook +35000
Michael Gligic +35000
Ryan Blaum +35000
Brett Drewitt +40000
David Hearn +40000
David Lingmerth +40000
Grayson Murray +40000
Joshua Creel +40000
Robert Garrigus +40000
Roberto Diaz +40000
Sang-Moon Bae +40000
Tommy Gainey +40000
Alvaro Ortiz +50000
Armando Favela +50000
Ben Crane +50000
Ben Willman +50000
Bo Van Pelt +50000
D.J. Trahan +50000
Darren Andrew Points +50000
Dawie Van Der Walt +50000
Greg Chalmers +50000
Isidro Benitez +50000
Jeffrey Kang +50000
Jim Knous +50000
Johnson Wagner +50000
Jonas Blixt +50000
Juan Cristobal Islas +50000
Kelly Kraft +50000
Manuel Inman +50000
Mark Hensby +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Matt Every +50000
Ricky Barnes +50000
Santiago de la Fuente +50000
Turk Pettit +50000
Arjun Atwal +50000
Derek Ernst +50000
Richard S. Johnson +50000
Get up to $2,200 FREE to bet the Mexico Open.

After Patrick Cantlay and Xander Schauffele won the PGA TOUR Tag Team Championship of the world, we’re back to stroke-play this week with the Mexico Open.

Jon Rahm headlines the first edition of this event, which is being held just north of Puerto Vallarta on Mexico’s west coast. Other top names include Abraham Ancer, Tony Finau and former US Open champion Gary Woodland.

The course looks like it will play long at almost 7,500 yards while coming in as just a par-71. It also features paspalum grass, which has factored into our betting analysts’ picks for the week.

We have seven picks before the TOUR heads back to the US for a couple of big events on the annual calendar before the PGA Championship. Check out our staff’s favorite props and outright picks below.

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Sahith Theegala — Top 10 (+700)

Jason Sobel: On a board with very little value anywhere because there is a lack of top players, outside of Rahm, we have to dig a little to find it.

I’ve said it so many times over the past few months, but you won’t be getting current Theegala prices for much longer, so keep jumping on ‘em while you can. I certainly don’t mind him for outrights and DFS, but he feels like a smart play for props – especially top-10s, as he’s cashed these tickets in two of his last eight starts. The key word of the week just might be “upside,” as I stated in my weekly preview.

This is a nice week to play some guys you’ve been eyeing for a while, and Theegala certainly makes that list for me.

Matt Jones +5500

Chris Murphy: While the course this week is set up to play long by par-71 standards and could present some wind issues, there really isn’t one set prototype of golfer that is set for success.

I’m going to lean in with an all around player in Matt Jones, who will get the benefit of wide fairways to assist the biggest issue in his game, which is his driver. The wide fairways should allow him to stay in the short grass and put himself in position to use the irons that have led him to top-three finishes twice this year. Jones is best known for his short game and ability to handle difficult wind conditions, both of which are set to come in handy this week in Mexico.

I really like the mid-level odds we are getting on a player that has shown top-tier upside when he brings his full bag with him during a tournament. He has shown that he has winning equity when he has his best, and that isn’t something we can say about many players in this field.

Anirban Lahiri +8000

Matt Vincenzi: One important angle that could be used in finding value in Mexico this week is targeting golfers who have a history of performing well on paspalum fairways and greens. Anirban Lahiri ranks fifth in the field in Strokes Gained: Total on Paspalum in his past 24 rounds, but his fantastic run of the surface dates back even further.

Lahiri hasn’t won on the PGA TOUR, but he has a couple of wins on the Asian Tour, which features many of the same style courses with paspalum fairways and greens. His victories have come at the Malaysian Open, which was played at CIMB Classic host TPC Kuala Lumpur.

The 34-year-old has posted some good results at the CIMB, including in 2016 when he had the 54-hole lead but finished in third behind Justin Thomas and Hidedki Matsuyama. Luckily for Lahiri, the field this week won’t feature players like that outside of Rahm.

Lahiri has also had a great deal of success at El Camaleón Golf Club, which hosts the Mayakoba Classic in the fall. Lahiri has shown up on the Mayakoba leaderboard with a 10th-place finish in 2018 and 14th-place finish in 2017.

Just last month, Lahiri finished second at the PLAYERS Championship, which was only one stroke behind winner Cameron Smith. He shot 3-under par on Sunday, which I found to be incredibly impressive considering the circumstances.

If Lahiri finds himself in contention this week, he should be much more equipped to earn his first PGA TOUR victory.

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Charles Howell III — Top 10 +550

Derek Farnsworth: We often get caught up in golf odds because betting outrights offers so much upside. However, many of the top 10 and top 20 bets are equivalent to betting on a big underdog to win in another sport. Winning with +550 odds in a basketball or football game would be huge.

There are a few reasons to like Howell this week and I’ll start with his statistics. I went back and looked at his approach numbers over the last 18 months, the last 10 months and the last four months. He has gotten progressively better with his irons in every timeframe. Consequently, his birdie rate has improved during that stretch. If we look at the year 2022 alone, he’s fifth in this field in birdie or better percentage.

Throughout his career, Howell has made a living at these kinds of events. His game isn’t exactly suited for the majors, but it is certainly suited for birdie fests. I looked at strokes gained on easy courses, and Howell is top five in this field. I also looked at strokes gained on courses with paspalum grass, and Howell is top five in this field.

Howell recently finished fourth at the Valero Texas Open, his statistics are trending in the right direction and the event should fit his game perfectly. I’m adding a small amount on the outright, but much prefer the top 10 bet at +550.

Brian Stuard — Top 30 (+290)

Rob Bolton: Adhering to our objective here, I’ve eased into one of my favorite combinations of golfer + X-finish.

Stuard is a commodity in the tropics and on paspalum, but we need him to be on form to compel us to donate units to the cause, and he is. Most recently, he’s hung up a T22 and a T7 on paspalum in Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic, respectively. Going all the way back to Pebble Beach, he’s 9-for-11 with five top-25s.

You too will likely have your go-to combo(s), but the Mexico Open at Vidanta presents an outstanding time to go hard at a top-10, so I’ll second Jason’s move toward Theegala at the top.

Get up to $1,100 back if your Mexico Open bet loses.

Mark Hubbard — Top 20 (+275)

Landon Silinsky: Hubbard is a guy I love targeting at these alternate type field events, as he’s shown to be a much better golfer than most people realize.

Over his past 48 rounds in this field, Hubbard ranks sixth in total strokes gained. The five guys ahead of him are all 35-1 or better to win this event, just to put that in perspective.

Hubbard has been tearing up the Korn Ferry Tour of late, posting top-10 finishes in each of his past three starts. Before that, he finished 15th at the Honda Classic, as well. You can get him to win at 70-1, which is worth a sprinkle, but with the field being as poor as it is we don’t have to be greedy here.

Gary Woodland +2100

Bryan Berryman: Since his missed cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open in early February, Gary Woodland has really turned it on. With three top-10 finishes in his last six starts, he appears to be in prime position to compete this week in the weaker Mexico Open field.

Over the last 24 rounds, he ranks first in this field in Strokes Gained: Approach, sixth in Strokes Gained: Putting, and 12th in driving distance. He also ranks second overall in my strokes gained statistical stat model, only behind the heavy favorite Jon Rahm.

Combining superior length off the tee with a hot putter could prove to be the winning formula on this 7,400-yard coastal setup. Woodland is set up to do just that and tops the list as my favorite bet to win the Mexico Open at +2100.

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