2022 Mexico Open Betting Picks: Gary Woodland, Cameron Champ Headline 5 Outrights

2022 Mexico Open Betting Picks: Gary Woodland, Cameron Champ Headline 5 Outrights article feature image

Stacy Revere/Getty Images. Pictured: Gary Woodland.

  • Jon Rahm is favored at the first ever Mexico Open, which is being held in Puerto Vallarta.
  • Joshua Perry scoured the odds board to find his favorite outright picks for the week.
  • Check out Perry's five picks and betting card below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Mexico Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Mexico Open Odds

Jon Rahm+500
Abraham Ancer+1600
Gary Woodland+2000
Tony Finau+2000
Kevin Na+2500
Aaron Wise+3000
Cameron Tringale+3000
Patrick Reed+3000
Sebastian Munoz+3000
Chris Kirk+3500
Aaron Rai+5000
Adam Long+5000
Brendon Todd+5000
Cameron Champ+5000
Charles Howell III+5000
Doug Ghim+5000
Kevin Streelman+5000
Matt Jones+5000
Russell Knox+5000
Carlos Ortiz+6000
Cheng-Tsung Pan+6000
Davis Riley+6000
Mark Hubbard+6000
Sahith Theegala+6000
Alex Smalley+6600
Lanto Griffin+6600
Taylor Moore+6600
Anirban Lahiri+7000
Chad Ramey+7000
Scott Stallings+7000
David Lipsky+8000
JT Poston+8000
Pat Perez+8000
Patrick Rodgers+8000
Wyndham Clark+8000
Greyson Sigg+9000
Kramer Hickok+9000
Nate Lashley+9000
Tyler Duncan+9000
Adam Svensson+10000
Austin Smotherman+10000
Brandon Wu+10000
Brian Stuard+10000
Chase Seiffert+10000
Hank Lebioda+10000
Joseph Bramlett+10000
Michael Thompson+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Scott Piercy+10000
Vaughn Taylor+10000
Vincent Whaley+10000
Adam Schenk+12500
Andrew D. Putnam+12500
Brice Garnett+12500
Danny Lee+12500
Dylan Wu+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Graeme McDowell+12500
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+12500
Peter Uihlein+12500
Rafael Cabrera Bello+12500
Robert Streb+12500
Ryan Armour+12500
Andrew Novak+15000
Ben Griffin+15000
Ben Martin+15000
Callum Tarren+15000
Chez Reavie+15000
James Hahn+15000
John Huh+15000
Justin Lower+15000
Kurt Kitayama+15000
Lee Hodges+15000
Matt Wallace+15000
Peter Malnati+15000
Roger Sloan+15000
Trey Mullinax+15000
Aaron Baddeley+20000
Bill Haas+20000
Bo Hoag+20000
Camilo Villegas+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Jason Dufner+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Luke Donald+20000
Patrick Flavin+20000
Stephan Jaeger+20000
Ben Kohles+25000
Brandon Hagy+25000
Curtis Thompson+25000
Paul Barjon+25000
Richy Werenski+25000
Satoshi Kodaira+25000
Scott Brown+25000
Scott Gutschewski+25000
Seung-yul Noh+25000
Sung Kang+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Bryson Nimmer+30000
David Skinns+30000
Fabian Gomez+30000
Jared Wolfe+30000
Jonathan Byrd+30000
Max McGreevy+30000
Seth Reeves+30000
Austin Cook+35000
Michael Gligic+35000
Ryan Blaum+35000
Brett Drewitt+40000
David Hearn+40000
David Lingmerth+40000
Grayson Murray+40000
Joshua Creel+40000
Robert Garrigus+40000
Roberto Diaz+40000
Sang-Moon Bae+40000
Tommy Gainey+40000
Alvaro Ortiz+50000
Armando Favela+50000
Ben Crane+50000
Ben Willman+50000
Bo Van Pelt+50000
D.J. Trahan+50000
Darren Andrew Points+50000
Dawie Van Der Walt+50000
Greg Chalmers+50000
Isidro Benitez+50000
Jeffrey Kang+50000
Jim Knous+50000
Johnson Wagner+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Juan Cristobal Islas+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Manuel Inman+50000
Mark Hensby+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Matt Every+50000
Ricky Barnes+50000
Santiago de la Fuente+50000
Turk Pettit+50000
Arjun Atwal+50000
Derek Ernst+50000
Richard S. Johnson+50000
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The Zurich Classic was pretty uneventful from a betting standpoint. The favorites hit the gas pedal on Day 1 and never let off. Xander Schauffele and Patrick Cantlay led from start to finish without much of a sweat.

On our side, Davis Riley and Will Zalatoris backdoored a top-5, while the longshot play of Mark Hubbard and Ryan Brehm maintained their spot inside the top 20 for some minor returns, but nothing special.

Now, we move on to a new event and new course on the schedule with the Mexico Open. Based on the field, it's clearly not much of a priority for the top names. It's basically looking like Jon Rahm decided to show up to the Puerto Rico Open.

The Course

As we said, it's a new course for the tour so not as much info as normal. Vidanta Vallarta is set to play at a little over 7,400 yards for a par-71 and resembles many of the seaside resort style set ups that we get on TOUR. We're expecting wide fairways, which means the bombers should have an edge at this length. Water in in play throughout, though.

Overall, it seems like length plus some solid mid iron play will be the key this week. Some previous success on Paspalum greens may also help as well.

This course was designed by Greg Norman, who has also been involved with TPC San Antonio and El Camaleon, so Valero and Mayakoba results may provide a little insight, as well.

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The Favorites

Jon Rahm opens between +400 and +500 depending on where you look. He's the player ranked in the top-15 in the world here this week. The emphasis on the driver should help, but this is likely to be fairly low scoring unless the wind picks up so the putting trouble could be problematic here. He's also only finished inside the top 15 once in his past five starts. On talent alone, he's the cream of the crop, but the game hasn't been trending the right way for him.

Then there are a handful of guys in the +2000s like Abraham Ancer, Tony Finau, Kevin Na and Cameron Tringale. Tringale has started to bounce back with a 10th and 12th the last two weeks. Finau has been in a slump, but the emphasis on distance should be a benefit to him. Ancer is playing in his home country and that's been a benefit at Mayakoba at least where he's finished 21st or better his last five starts. Na has some decent results, but not a guy I'm usually looking to play at 7,400 yards.

Of the group, Gary Woodland will open my card at +2500 at Caesars. Woodland has probably been playing the best of that bunch with three top-10s in his last six events. He has missed cuts against the elites at Augusta and Sawgrass, but his other four starts without all of the stars he's gone fifth, fifth, 21st and eighth. The approach game has been trending in the right direction, and he's definitely got the length to take advantage here.

If the Norman design plays a factor that eighth this year was at Valero, where he also placed sixth a year ago. The Mayakoba results aren't as consistent, but he was second there in 2016, as well.

The Mid-Tier

There isn't a lot to get excited about in this range this week, but I'm going to go with Cameron Champ on a flyer at +6000 on DraftKings. Champ hasn't been playing well, but he seemed to get things together at Augusta National, where he gained eight strokes ball striking and finished 10th.

Champ is obviously at his best when he goes out and pounds driver, and this seems like as good of a spot as any for that. He also wins at a far greater rate than any of the guys mixed in around these numbers. He's definitely a boom-or-bust type play, but the price seems fair given the lack of talent in this field.

I'll also go with Scott Stallings at +8000 on BetMGM. Stallings had a pair of top-20s just before the Masters, including one a Valero, before missing a couple of cuts at the RBC Heritage and Zurich. His main problem off the tee has been inaccuracy, but that may not play as big of a factor this week with the wider fairways. The short game has been leading to most of his better results, which isn't also ideal, but he hit the irons well in the missed cut at the RBC Heritage so the ball-striking could be coming around a bit.

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The Longshots

I'll dabble with a couple guys here starting with Wyndham Clark at 100-1 on DraftKings. Clark finished 10th last week at Zurich with Tringale. He also had a good ball-striking week at Harbour Town, so the game appears to be going in the right direction. Clark is also one of the longer guys off the tee, so this is a good setup for him if he can keep it in play.

Finally, we'll close here with Austin Smotherman at 125-1 on BetRivers. Smotherman is a good ball-striker with above-average length and accuracy when he's dialed in. He's gained ground off the tee and with the approach in four of his last five events.

The Mexico Open Card

  • Gary Woodland +2500 (1.38 units)
  • Cameron Champ +6000 (.55 units)
  • Scott Stallings +8000 (.41 units)
  • Wyndham Clark +10000 (.33 units)
  • Austin Smotherman +15000 (.22 units)

Total Stake: 2.89 units

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