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Updated RBC Heritage 2022 Odds & 7 Picks for Daniel Berger, Russell Henley, More

Updated RBC Heritage 2022 Odds & 7 Picks for Daniel Berger, Russell Henley, More article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Daniel Berger (left) and Russell Henley.

  • A strong post-Masters field heads to Harbour Town for the 2022 RBC Heritage.
  • Justin Thomas is favored, but our GolfBet staff sees value further down the odds board.
  • Check out our writers' favorite picks for this week in Hilton Head below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Heritage odds via BetMGM

2022 RBC Heritage Odds

Golfer Odds
Collin Morikawa +1200
Justin Thomas +1200
Cameron Smith +1400
Dustin Johnson +2000
Matt Fitzpatrick +2000
Patrick Cantlay +2000
Shane Lowry +2200
Corey Conners +2500
Daniel Berger +2800
Joaquin Niemann +3300
Russell Henley +3300
Sungjae Im +3300
Webb Simpson +3300
Billy Horschel +4000
Jordan Spieth +4000
Kevin Kisner +4000
Kevin Na +4000
Tyrrell Hatton +4000
Adam Hadwin +5000
Alex Noren +5000
Chris Kirk +5000
Matt Kuchar +5000
Maverick McNealy +5000
Si Woo Kim +5000
Tommy Fleetwood +5000
Harold Varner III +5000
Brian Harman +6600
Jason Kokrak +6600
Kevin Streelman +6600
Mito Pereira +6600
Tom Hoge +6600
Charles Howell III +8000
J.J. Spaun +8000
Cameron Young +8000
Dylan Frittelli +8000
Aaron Wise +10000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Erik van Rooyen +10000
Ian Poulter +10000
Luke List +10000
Russell Knox +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Stewart Cink +10000
Troy Merritt +10000
Anirban Lahiri +12500
Beau Hossler +12500
Brendon Todd +12500
C.T. Pan +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Danny Willett +12500
Davis Riley +12500
Doug Ghim +12500
Joel Dahmen +12500
Lucas Glover +12500
Matthew NeSmith +12500
Patton Kizzire +12500
Rickie Fowler +12500
Sahith Theegala +12500
Scott Stallings +12500
Branden Grace +15000
Brandt Snedeker +15000
Brian Stuard +15000
Carlos Ortiz +15000
Chad Ramey +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Charley Hoffman +15000
K.H. Lee +15000
Lanto Griffin +15000
Mackenzie Hughes +15000
Nate Lashley +15000
Zach Johnson +15000
Adam Long +15000
Cam Davis +15000
Emiliano Grillo +15000
J.T. Poston +15000
Pat Perez +15000
Alex Smalley +20000
Harry Higgs +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Kramer Hickok +20000
Michael Thompson +20000
Nick Taylor +20000
Adam Svensson +20000
Andrew Putnam +20000
Chez Reavie +20000
Doc Redman +20000
Henrik Stenson +20000
Luke Donald +20000
Takumi Kanaya +20000
Brice Garnett +25000
Garrick Higgo +25000
Graeme McDowell +25000
Satoshi Kodaira +25000
Wesley Bryan +25000
Adam Schenk +30000
Bill Haas +30000
Danny Lee +30000
Robert Streb +30000
Sam Ryder +30000
Scott Piercy +30000
Tyler Duncan +30000
Joseph Bramlett +30000
Bryson Nimmer +35000
Camilo Villegas +35000
Hank Lebioda +35000
Henrik Norlander +35000
Jim Furyk +35000
Nick Watney +35000
Roger Sloan +35000
Wyndham Clark +35000
Ben Martin +40000
Brandon Hagy +40000
Brian Gay +40000
Chesson Hadley +40000
James Hahn +40000
Jonathan Byrd +40000
Peter Malnati +40000
Richy Werenski +40000
Stephan Jaeger +40000
Sung Kang +40000
William McGirt +40000
Jim Herman +50000
Kevin Tway +50000
Martin Trainer +50000
Michael Gligic +50000
Ryan Brehm +50000
Scott Brown +50000
Davis Love III +75000
Morgan Hoffmann +75000
James Piot +100000
Morgan Deneen +100000
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We’re back on the PGA TOUR this week, going from Augusta National to Harbour Town for the 2022 RBC Heritage.

A very strong field has made its way to Hilton Head this week, including five players who were among the favorites last week at the Masters. Justin Thomas is favored, although the likes of Collin Morikawa, Cameron Smith, Dustin Johnson and Patrick Cantlay aren’t far behind him.

Harbour Town is a second-shot course (you’ll hear that often on TOUR), but its smaller greens create an even greater need for precision.

Our GolfBet staff has taken that into account this week and selected some of the world’s best iron players for its best bets. Check out their favorite picks for the RBC Heritage below.

Bet on Morikawa, Win $200 (No Matter What!)

Best Bets

Matthew NeSmith — Top-20 (+550)

Jason Sobel: The truth is, for my best bet of the week, I was looking at Corey Conners for a top-five (+600) or Maverick McNealy for a top-10 (+450), but I’d rather go after NeSmith at a similar number with more room for error as a top-20 play.

NeSmith ranks 77th in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee this season and 33rd in on approach shots, the latter of which is a vital metric on one of the PGA TOUR’s most confined venues. That’s hardly the only reason to play him here, though.

When I spoke with him on “Hitting the Green,” my show on SiriusXM PGA TOUR Radio a few weeks ago, the South Carolina native admitted that if he was picking himself anywhere, it would be at this event. Armed with some confidence after contending for a win last month at the Valspar Championship, don’t be surprised if NeSmith gets himself into a similar spot this week.

Alex Noren — Top 10 (+550)

Chris Murphy: I seem to put Noren in this spot a lot this year, and he’s posting some very strong finishes despite the bet not paying off yet. I’m going back this week in part because it is a good fit for him, and also because this number is off from the rest of the market that has him in the +400 range for this type of finish.

Noren has three top-12 finishes in his last five starts and is coming into a week where he has never missed the cut and posted three top-30 finishes. Those top-30s aren’t anything great, but combined with his fantastic recent form I believe he is set for a big week. I’ll be betting the Swede all the way up the board this week and this might be the spot where he finally breaks through and really contends for a win.

Tommy Fleetwood — Top-20 (+230)

Landon Silinsky: Very quietly, Fleetwood has had a bit of a resurgence of late. Since his missed cut at the Honda Classic, he’s gone T20, T22, T16 and most recently T14 at Augusta. His rolling numbers back that up as well, as the Englishman ranks 22nd in this field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and 13th in Strokes Gained: Total over his previous 12 rounds.

The Englishman gained 4.33 strokes off the tee at the Masters, which ranked third in the field behind only Shane Lowry and Matt Fitzpatrick. In two starts at Harbour Town, Fleetwood has a T25 and a MC (last year) to his record, however the missed cut came directly on the number and he even shot a second-round 65.

It’s been about two years since we’ve seen Fleetwood at his best, but he seems to be getting back to his old form and getting +230 in this spot for a T20 – something he’s done in three of his previous four starts – is some pretty nice value.

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Daniel Berger — Top 5, Sungjae Im — Top 10 and Tyrrell Hatton — Top 20 (+10000)

Rob Bolton: I went 3-for-4 in the similar parlay with cascading finishes at the Masters — thanks for nothin’, Viktor Hovland, who finished T27 when his goal was a top-10 — so I’m feelin’ it again at Harbour Town.

Berger, Im and Hatton are three guys who never have been in my kitchen, but all three are in my Power Rankings at PGATOUR.com. Berger’s target is the mountain, obviously, but he has the shortest odds on FanDuel’s board of top-5s for individual finishes at +200. Sure, that’s a reflection of early betting and the house wanting to keep its door open, but he still deserves it.

Berger popped for a T3 here in June 2020, and he has a pair of top-5s in 2022. Those results exemplify his form in general since he launched into the Return to Golf with victory at Colonial the week before the 2020 RBC Heritage. (He’s 4-for-4 in the tournament.)

You’ll find this bet in Golf Specials 4 at FanDuel. In what has evolved into my favorite section of all the boards, my 1a is a similar parlay in Golf Specials 3. It kicks back +2900 for Justin Thomas (top 5), Patrick Cantlay (top 10) and Matt Fitzpatrick (top 20).

Daniel Berger +3500

Matt Vincenzi: At times, golf can be an incredibly difficult sport to predict. With a wide range of potential outcomes in every tournament, narrowing down the winner is never an easy task. With that being acknowledged, Daniel Berger’s success has been somewhat predictable in the past.

All four of Berger’s PGA TOUR victories have come at relatively short courses. TPC Southwind (two wins), Colonial Country Club, and Pebble Beach Golf Links all don’t require great distance off the tee and reward sharp iron play. In his past 36 rounds, the Florida State University product ranks first in the field in courses that are under 7,200 yards. Harbour Town Golf Links fits that description as it is a par 71 measuring 7,121 yards.

Unsurprisingly, Berger has excelled in Hilton Head in the past, with a 13th-place finish last year and third in 2020. At a course with the second-smallest greens on TOUR, spectacular iron play is going to be more important than ever. The 29-year-old is a remarkably consistent iron player, and ranks first in Strokes Gained: Approach over his past 50 rounds.

Berger also arrives at Harbour Town in solid form. Among his six stroke-play starts this season, he has finished in the top 20 in four of them and top five twice.

Berger has shown he is capable of winning in strong fields when the course suits him, and Harbour Town seems to be an ideal spot for him to earn his fifth PGA TOUR victory.

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Daniel Berger +3500

Derek Farnsworth: As soon as I saw +3500 at Caesars on Berger, I rushed to the online betting window.

We can throw out his T50 performance at the Masters because Augusta National seems to have his number. For whatever reason, he hasn’t played well in his last four starts at the Masters. Prior to that, he had been playing some excellent golf – T13 at THE PLAYERS and T4 at the Honda Classic.

While a little longer off the tee, Berger is very similar to Webb Simpson and Kevin Kisner in that he tends to play his best golf on these shorter courses. Harbour Town favors accuracy off the tee and elite iron play, two things Berger has excelled at throughout his career. The greens here are difficult to hit, so it helps that Berger is 10th in this field in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.

He should feel very comfortable this week, as he’s finished T13 and T3 here the last two years.

Russell Henley +3500

Bryan Berryman: Henley has quietly put himself in the conversation as one of the best iron players in the world.

Over the last 50 tracked rounds, he ranks second among all PGA TOUR players in Strokes Gained: Approach trailing only Justin Thomas. He’s also more than serviceable off the tee, where he ranks 21st in fairways gained in this field over the last 50 rounds. This combination of skills will be vital for golfers this week as they attempt to attack Harbour Town, a course that demands accuracy both off the tee and into its small greens to compete.

While he doesn’t have the recent victories to show for it, all of the advanced data is pointing to a breakthrough win in the near future for Henley. He finished ninth in this event last year, despite losing 2.7 strokes putting. Coming off a great final round performance at the Masters, I think he keeps the momentum going into this week and wins at a course that fits his skill set perfectly.

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