2022 Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds, Expert Picks: Cameron Davis Among 6 Outright Bets

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It was a weird week at the 3M. We had Emiliano Grillo near the top of the leaderboard all week, but it never really felt like he was in position to win it.

A bunch of chaos led to him going from four down to Scott Piercy to four down to Tony Finau in a matter of a couple holes, and he ultimately ended up in second place.

We keep moving forward now to the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit. As expected, most of the stars are away again with the FedEx Cup looming, so it's another prime opportunity for some lower-tiered guys to lock up status this week.

The Course

Detroit Golf Club measures out to 7,340 yards for a par 72. The Donald Ross design has played pretty easy so far. Nate Lashley won at 25-under and Bryson DeChambeau followed up at 23-under. Then, Cameron Davis won a three-man playoff at 18-under over Troy Merritt and Joaquin Niemann.

Lashley and DeChambeau couldn’t be more opposite golfers, so it’s tough to really draw a real fit early on for this course.

Obviously an elite bomber like DeChambeau can win anywhere when his game is on. And with Matthew Wolff right behind him last year, it showed that length is definitely a benefit. Davis is on the longer side, as well.

But with Lashley’s win — along with players like Kevin Kisner, Adam Hadwin and Ryan Armour finishing in the top five in the past — the shorter guys can also play well here.

Overall this week, I’ll be looking at strong approach games — coupled with guys who can get a hot putter — because we’ll likely need someone to roll in 25 birdies to win.

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The Favorites

Patrick Cantlay makes his debut here as the favorite at +1100. Form has been great for him, so it's no surprise. He's finished inside the top 15 in five straight events, and prior to that, he won the Zurich Classic with Xander Schauffele.

Below him are last week's winner Tony Finau and Will Zalatoris at +1600. Both have played here once and made the cut, but finished outside the top 50. The form is in a better spot for both this time around though, so I'd expect a better finish.

But I'd look more toward Cantlay than these two if you wanted to bet the top of the board. Why? Because he has the better putter for these birdie fests.

Max Homa and Cameron Young make up the rest of this range in the +2000s. Homa has played here a couple times, but finished outside the top 20 in both instances. Young will be making his debut, fresh off his runner-up finish at The Open. I'd imagine, in this range, he'll be the most popular play.

The Mid-Tier

I'll open here with Cameron Davis at +3500 on DraftKings. I can't remember the last time — if ever — I've bet a defending champ to repeat, but I'll be going with it here.

Davis is playing too well to ignore right now. He's made his last six cuts, with four finishes of 16th or better mixed in during that run.

His irons are completely dialed in, as well. He's gained ground in nine of his last 10 events and also enters gaining over four strokes on approach in back-to-back events for the first time in 18 months.

The short game is always the concern here, so hopefully the iron play will continue its upward trend and there won't be too many scrambling situations.

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We'll also go to Scott Stallings here at +6000 on BetRivers. Stallings has made the cut in all three appearances here and has finished eighth or better in three of his last five starts.

His results have improved each of the last three years, highlighted by a 25th-place finish in 2021, when he entered on the heels of two missed cuts.

With the form in better shape this time, and a seemingly better feel for the course, he could contend here.

My last play in this range will be Taylor Pendrith at +8000 on bet365. Pendrith is coming off of an injury, but has placed inside the top 15 in both alternate field events while the big names were in the UK.

This will be his first full field event back, but as we mentioned, it's pretty light in terms of stars. Pendrith hits the ball a mile and is usually solid with his irons. Coming off the Korn Ferry Tour, he's someone I thought could put up the type of results that Young or Davis Riley have produced.

He's had time to shake the rust off from his injury, and with decent results in both events, I'm going to take a chance on his overall talent coming through at a decent number. If you don't have access to bet365, Caesars has the next best number on Pendrith at 65-1.

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The Longshots

This has been a decent spot for longshots so far, largely due to the fact that it can become a putting contest. Bryson won as the favorite, but Davis was triple digits and Lashley wasn't even on the board as a late add to the field the day before the tournament.

To start this range off, I'm going back to Callum Tarren again at 130-1 on DraftKings. He's been on my card a couple times recently, and the form continues to remain solid without any change in the odds. He was seventh last week at the 3M and has been inside the top 25 in three of his last four starts.

He's coming off a week where he gained nearly 10 strokes with his ball striking, so we know that part of his game is where it needs to be.

Putting has been average early in his career, but he seems to have something figured out on the greens, where he's gained strokes in seven of his last eight events.

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We'll also go with Hank Lebioda here at 150-1 on BetRivers. Lebioda was fourth here a year ago and has started to play better as the season nears its conclusion. He's made five of his last six cuts, highlighted by a 16th-place finish at the 3M last week.

He always relies heavily on the short game, but his irons have improved lately. He's gained strokes in four of his last five events.

I'm going to take a flyer here on Beau Hossler at 180-1 on DraftKings. I like Hossler's fit because he's long and putts well. He had a good run earlier in the year, contending on a couple of occasions.

The window may have closed on that run of form — since he's missed the last two cuts — but he did finish 25th here last year. That means he's capable of a decent finish.

The Rocket Mortgage Card

• Cameron Davis +3500 (.94 units)
• Scott Stallings +6000 (.55 units)
• Taylor Pendrith +8000 (.41 units)
• Callum Tarren +13000 (.25 units)
• Hank Lebioda +15000 (.22 units)
• Beau Hossler +18000 (.18 units)

Total Stake: 2.55 units

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