2022 Valero Texas Open Odds: 5 First-Round Leader Picks To Target

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds: 5 First-Round Leader Picks To Target article feature image

Julio Aguilar/Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Streelman.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Valero Texas Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds

Rory McIlroy+900
Jordan Spieth+1600
Corey Conners+1800
Hideki Matsuyama+2000
Chris Kirk+2500
Gary Woodland+2500
Bryson DeChambeau+2800
Si Woo Kim+2800
Adam Hadwin+3300
Tony Finau+3300
Maverick McNealy+3500
Keegan Bradley+4000
Davis Riley+4000
Jason Day+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Kevin Streelman+5000
Luke List+5500
Mito Guillermo Pereira+6000
Patton Kizzire+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Russell Knox+6600
Brendan Steele+7000
Charley Hoffman+7000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+7000
Robert MacIntyre+7000
Ryan Palmer+7000
Sahith Theegala+7000
Doug Ghim+7500
Denny McCarthy+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Rasmus Højgaard+8000
Charles Howell III+9000
Ian Poulter+9000
Lanto Griffin+9000
Matthew NeSmith+9000
Alex Smalley+10000
Dylan Frittelli+10000
Martin Laird+10000
Matt Jones+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Pat Perez+10000
Scott Stallings+10000
Takumi Kanaya+10000
Taylor Moore+10000
Troy Merritt+10000
Peter Uihlein+10000
Anirban Lahiri+12500
Beau Hossler+12500
Branden Grace+12500
Brian Stuard+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan+12500
David Lipsky+12500
J. J. Spaun+12500
Kramer Hickok+12500
Lee Westwood+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Matthias Schwab+12500
Richard Bland+12500
Adam Long+15000
Andrew D. Putnam+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Doc Redman+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Min Woo Lee+15000
Nate Lashley+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Cameron Champ+17500
Danny Lee+17500
Harry Higgs+17500
Aaron Rai+20000
Adam Schenk+20000
Adam Svensson+20000
Andrew Novak+20000
Austin Smotherman+20000
Brandon Hagy+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Hank Lebioda+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Hudson Swafford+20000
Jimmy Walker+20000
JT Poston+20000
Kevin Chappell+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Kyle Stanley+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Patrick Rodgers+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Tyler Duncan+20000
Zach Johnson+20000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
Garrick Higgo+25000
Graeme McDowell+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
John Huh+25000
Justin Lower+25000
Luke Donald+25000
Matt Wallace+25000
Max McGreevy+25000
Peter Malnati+25000
Ryan Brehm+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Ben Kohles+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Bill Haas+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Logan McAllister+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Richy Werenski+30000
Roger Sloan+30000
Seung-yul Noh+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Jared Wolfe+30000
Chesson Hadley+35000
Dylan Wu+35000
Guido Migliozzi+35000
James Hahn+35000
Paul Barjon+35000
Aaron Baddeley+35000
Austin Cook+50000
Ben Kern+50000
Bronson Burgoon+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
David Skinns+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
Henrik Norlander+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Ludvig Aberg+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
William McGirt+50000
Shawn Stefani+50000
Jake Kevorkian+50000
Samuel Saunders+50000
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The PGA TOUR stays in Texas this week for the Valero Texas Open, as fans gear up for next week at Augusta National.

TPC San Antonio is one of the longer courses players will face this year, measuring 7,494 yards as a par-72 with Bermuda grass greens. Heavy winds will be the course's best defense against players this week. If it's not especially breezy, though, the winner could end up around 20-under.

Many top players are sitting out this week, although some like Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Hideki Matsuyama and Bryson DeChambeau are going to be teeing it up. This is their last chance to find form before heading to Augusta National.

First-round leader betting strategies can vary from week to week. In weeks when my targets are at the top of the board, I tend to take longer shots that may be able to have a strong opening round but are likely to fade as the week goes on.

When my outright betting card consists of a handful of golfers that are further down the betting board, many of the first-round leader plays will be the same as the outrights. One of the worst scenarios as a golf bettor is to have one of your longshot plays in the lead after the first round with nothing to show for it.

For my FRL card, I usually leave off any players who are higher than about 40-1, since I think for this market the value lies with the long shots. It’s much more likely for these types of golfers to flash on the leaderboard for one round than sustain their place at the top of the leaderboard throughout the weekend.

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Tony Finau (+5000)

With eight birdies in his final match against Xander Schauffele at the WGC Dell Match Play, there’s some hope that Finau has regained the form that made him a top level player for so long. Finding birdies in bunches is the key to being a first-round leader and although it’s tough to be sold on the fact that he’s completely back, he showed he can still go really low for one round.

Finau has a third place finish here back in 2017, so he’s shown that the course suits him if he is playing well.

Kevin Streelman (+6500)

Streelman has been excellent at TPC San Antonio. He has top-10 finishes (eighth and sixth) in his past two trips to the course.

While not a great putter, Streelman's results on Bermuda grass have been much better than other surfaces. He rolled it well in the Florida swing, gaining an average of 2.2 strokes putting on the field per event. A hot putter in round one could propel him to an early lead on Thursday.

Patton Kizzire (+5500)

Last season, we saw Kizzire get extremely hot in any event taking place in Texas, registering three top-10 finishes in the Lone Star State. At this event last year, when he finished ninth, the 36-year-old gained 8.1 strokes on approach, which was the most he’s ever gained in his career.

Kizzire is typically a hot starter, and I trust him a lot more to start fast than I do to finish strong. He ranks seventh in the field in Strokes Gained: Total in round one.

Brendan Steele (+9000)

In his past two starts at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS, Steele has gained 10.1 and 9.5 strokes from tee to green respectively. He ranks second in the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee in his past 24 rounds, which has been statistically extremely important at this event in the past.

Steele’s combination of both distance and accuracy with the driver make him an ideal course fit at TPC San Antonio. In his past five starts, he’s gained an average of 9.7 strokes on the field in driving distance and 2.9 strokes on the field in driving accuracy.

I wrote in my outright preview about Steele’s ability to have “spike” putting weeks. This should play well into the first round leader narrative. He isn’t a great putter but catches a hot one on a one round basis relatively often.

David Lipsky (+9000)

In 2020, Lipsky won the San Antonio Challenge at TPC San Antonio. Although it was the “Canyons” Course, it does show his comfortability with the greens and playing golf in the area.

We saw the 33-year-old get off to a hot start at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, where he was a co-leader after the first round. Additionally, he finished in seventh last week at the Corales Puntacana, so he arrives in Texas with some momentum.

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