2022 Valero Texas Open Odds & Picks: Matthias Schwab Among 3 Longshots To Target

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds & Picks: Matthias Schwab Among 3 Longshots To Target article feature image

Mike Mulholland/Getty Images. Pictured: Matthias Schwab.

Click arrow to expand 2022 Valero Texas Open odds via PointsBet

2022 Valero Texas Open Odds

Rory McIlroy+800
Jordan Spieth+1400
Corey Conners+1800
Hideki Matsuyama+1800
Abraham Ancer+2000
Bryson DeChambeau+2800
Si Woo Kim+2800
Chris Kirk+3000
Gary Woodland+3000
Adam Hadwin+3300
Maverick McNealy+3500
Keegan Bradley+4000
Tony Finau+4000
Davis Riley+5000
Jason Day+5000
Jhonattan Vegas+5000
Kevin Streelman+5000
Luke List+5500
Mito Guillermo Pereira+6000
Patton Kizzire+6000
Rickie Fowler+6000
Russell Knox+6600
Brendan Steele+7000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+7000
Matthew NeSmith+7000
Robert MacIntyre+7000
Ryan Palmer+7000
Sahith Theegala+7000
Charley Hoffman+7500
Doug Ghim+7500
Denny McCarthy+8000
Matt Kuchar+8000
Rasmus Højgaard+8000
Charles Howell III+9000
Ian Poulter+9000
Lanto Griffin+9000
Alex Smalley+10000
Dylan Frittelli+10000
Martin Laird+10000
Matt Jones+10000
Nick Taylor+10000
Pat Perez+10000
Scott Stallings+10000
Takumi Kanaya+10000
Taylor Moore+10000
Troy Merritt+10000
Peter Uihlein+10000
Anirban Lahiri+12500
Beau Hossler+12500
Branden Grace+12500
Brian Stuard+12500
Chad Ramey+12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan+12500
David Lipsky+12500
J. J. Spaun+12500
Kramer Hickok+12500
Lee Westwood+12500
Lucas Glover+12500
Matthias Schwab+12500
Richard Bland+12500
Adam Long+15000
Andrew D. Putnam+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Doc Redman+15000
Greyson Sigg+15000
Joseph Bramlett+15000
Min Woo Lee+15000
Nate Lashley+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Vincent Whaley+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Cameron Champ+17500
Danny Lee+17500
Harry Higgs+17500
Aaron Rai+20000
Adam Schenk+20000
Adam Svensson+20000
Andrew Novak+20000
Brandon Hagy+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Hank Lebioda+20000
Hayden Buckley+20000
Hudson Swafford+20000
Jimmy Walker+20000
JT Poston+20000
Kevin Chappell+20000
Kevin Tway+20000
Kyle Stanley+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Patrick Rodgers+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Tyler Duncan+20000
Zach Johnson+20000
Andrew Landry+25000
Austin Smotherman+25000
Brandt Snedeker+25000
Garrick Higgo+25000
Graeme McDowell+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
John Huh+25000
Justin Lower+25000
Luke Donald+25000
Matt Wallace+25000
Max McGreevy+25000
Peter Malnati+25000
Ryan Brehm+25000
Stephan Jaeger+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Ben Kohles+30000
Ben Martin+30000
Bill Haas+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Logan McAllister+30000
Nick Watney+30000
Richy Werenski+30000
Roger Sloan+30000
Seung-yul Noh+30000
Sung Kang+30000
Chesson Hadley+35000
Dylan Wu+35000
Guido Migliozzi+35000
James Hahn+35000
Paul Barjon+35000
Aaron Baddeley+35000
Austin Cook+50000
Ben Kern+50000
Bronson Burgoon+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
David Skinns+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
Henrik Norlander+50000
Jim Herman+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Ludvig Aberg+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Michael Gligic+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
William McGirt+50000
Shawn Stefani+50000
Jake Kevorkian+50000
Samuel Saunders+50000
Get up to $2,200 FREE to bet the Valero Texas Open.

The PGA TOUR continues its swing through the Lone Star State, two-stepping from the WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play in Austin over to the Valero Texas Open in San Antonio.

Many of the world’s best will be stepping aside this weekend to prepare for the Masters next week, leaving an intriguing field with a ton of potential value for the betting public.

The unique spot on the calendar has opened up this event to dark horse winners in recent years, like Steven Bowditch in 2014, Kevin Chappell in 2017, and Andrew Landry in 2018. If that’s going to happen again this time around, these three names stand out among their fellow longshots.

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Charley Hoffman +8000 (BetMGM)

We have not seen Charley Hoffman’s best golf lately. The long time PGA TOUR pro has not finished in the top 20 in any of his eleven starts in the 2022 FedEx Cup season. He’s missed back-to-back cuts and has not even finished in the top 65 of a tournament in the 2022 calendar year.

Nonetheless, it's somehow hard to ignore his chances to contend this weekend. Hoffman is the ultimate horse for the course here at TPC San Antonio. He has played this tournament at this venue 11 times and never missed the cut and finished outside the top 40 just once. In nine of his 11 starts here, Hoffman has found the top 15, with five finishes inside the top five, including a win back in 2016.

For the more analytical minded among you, no player with more than 12 rounds played at TPC San Antonio has more True Strokes Gained per round than Hoffman, per Data Golf.

Some books are a little more bullish on Hoffman’s chances here. FanDuel, for example, has him listed as low as +4600 to win. At that price, I’d stay away. At BetMGM’s number, paying 80-to-1, Hoffman is absolutely worth a spot on your card this weekend.

Bet Charley Hoffman at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

Brian Stuard +12500 (PointsBet)

The Oaks Course at TPC San Antonio rewards those with skill around the greens. On average, nearly 18 percent of the champion’s strokes gained at this event come from his work around the green, according to Data Golf. The average PGA Tour event winner typically sees just 14 percent of strokes gained coming from around the green.

Over the last calendar year, Brian Stuard has been a top 10 player in the world around the greens, using strokes gained data. He recently gained over a stroke per round at the Valspar Championship and THE PLAYERS Championship earlier this month.

Stuard has shown an ability to translate that skill to a spot in contention at this venue as well. Back in 2019, he finished in a tie for fourth place. He is also playing well right now, coming off a T7 in Punta Cana and four top 25 finishes in his last five tournaments.

Get up to $2,200 FREE to bet Stuard & Schwab.

Matthias Schwab +12500 (PointsBet)

Sticking with the theme of crafty short game players, Matthias Schwab has been a wizard in that regard in recent months. In the last three months, dating back seven starts for Schwab, he ranks second in the world in Strokes Gained: Around the Green.

Much of that success has come from his work in the sand. Schwab ranks in the top 15 on Tour this season in Sand Save percentage and Proximity to the Hole from the sand.

The young Austrian has put that to good use, earning two top 10s in his last four starts. He has been rock solid on the greens this season, ranking sixth in the PGA Tour’s “Total Putting” statistic and 16th in Strokes Gained: Putting. Schwab is a perfect 184-184 putting inside 3-feet.

If he continues to putt well, on top of his skills around the green and in bunkers, Schwab fits well at TPC San Antonio. This is his first time competing at this venue, potentially giving him some value as a dark horse with limited information available.

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