BMW Championship: Finding value at the top of the board
The trend of big names taking down FedEx Cup events has continued in 2017.
Dustin Johnson and Justin Thomas claimed the first two events, while Jordan Spieth has finished as the runner-up twice.
Naturally, these three enter the week at the top of the betting board. I, however, will continue to bang my head against a wall and avoid everyone at less than 20/1.
It almost feels like we’re overdue for someone to come through from outside of the top five players. Of the guys in that next tier, I like Henrik Stenson and Justin Rose the best.
Both players have been trending up and Stenson recently won the week before the playoffs. Each player has shown on numerous occasions that he is capable of taking down the best players in the game.
Stenson has finished in the top 20 in six of his last seven events and owns a 10th place finish on this course in 2015. Rose has back-to-back 10th place finishes in the playoffs and took 13th here two years ago.
One interesting note in this range is the number on Rory McIlroy. He enters as high as 25/1 on some books. It’s been years since Rory has been in the 20s. With just 70 players in the field and on a course where he took fourth in 2015, I looked long and hard at that number, but his health concerns are just too much even at that price for me.
Later in the week, I’ll be back to break down my mid-tier and longshot plays.
Joshua has spent the last five years writing about sports and the last 10 years betting them, mostly on golf. He’s one of approximately five people who will watch the PGA over the NFL in November. Follow him on Twitter @JoshuaPerry22
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