2018 British Open: Why Dustin Johnson’s Distance Advantage Will Be Negated


Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dustin Johnson

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.

Dustin Johnson’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $11,300 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, T-12, T-49, T-9, T-54

Odds: +1200 to win, +100 top-10 finish, -190 top-20 finish, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1200 to win

Best Matchup Value: Johnson (-115) over Justin Rose

Tee Times: 8:04 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:03 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.

The Outlook

There isn’t a course in the world that doesn’t suit DJ’s game — hey, that’s why he’s ranked No. 1 — but links venues should negate his built-in advantage, which is, of course, his immense length off the tee. Take driver out of the hands of other top players and it helps; take driver out of Johnson’s hands and it levels the playing field. All of which should help to explain his Open Championship record, which is solid but hardly eye-popping.

The Metrics

Here’s how Johnson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 1st
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-17th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 8th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-19th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories