2018 British Open: Why Dustin Johnson’s Distance Advantage Will Be Negated
Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dustin Johnson
For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.
Dustin Johnson’s British Open Odds
DFS Pricing: $11,300 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel
British Open History (2013-17): T-32, T-12, T-49, T-9, T-54
Odds: +1200 to win, +100 top-10 finish, -190 top-20 finish, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut
Best Odds Value: +1200 to win
Best Matchup Value: Johnson (-115) over Justin Rose
Tee Times: 8:04 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:03 a.m. ET (Friday)
There isn’t a course in the world that doesn’t suit DJ’s game — hey, that’s why he’s ranked No. 1 — but links venues should negate his built-in advantage, which is, of course, his immense length off the tee. Take driver out of the hands of other top players and it helps; take driver out of Johnson’s hands and it levels the playing field. All of which should help to explain his Open Championship record, which is solid but hardly eye-popping.
Here’s how Johnson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.
- Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 1st
- Recent Adjusted Round Score: 1st
- Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 1st
- Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-17th
- Strokes Gained: Approach: 8th
- Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-19th
Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.