2018 British Open: Why Dustin Johnson’s Distance Advantage Will Be Negated

Jul 11, 2018 5:39 PM EDT
Credit:

Shanna Lockwood-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dustin Johnson

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds. This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Dustin Johnson’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $11,300 DraftKings, $12,500 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-32, T-12, T-49, T-9, T-54

Odds: +1200 to win, +100 top-10 finish, -190 top-20 finish, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +1200 to win

Best Matchup Value: Johnson (-115) over Justin Rose

Tee Times: 8:04 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:03 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

There isn’t a course in the world that doesn’t suit DJ’s game — hey, that’s why he’s ranked No. 1 — but links venues should negate his built-in advantage, which is, of course, his immense length off the tee. Take driver out of the hands of other top players and it helps; take driver out of Johnson’s hands and it levels the playing field. All of which should help to explain his Open Championship record, which is solid but hardly eye-popping.


The Metrics

Here’s how Johnson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 1st
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 1st
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-17th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 8th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-19th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

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