2018 British Open: Emiliano Grillo Is a Safe DFS Value Play

Jul 11, 2018 5:42 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Emiliano Grillo’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,800 DraftKings, $8,700 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, N/A, N/A, T-12, MC

Odds: +10,000 to win, +1400 top-10 finish, +500 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +1400 top-10 finish

Best Matchup Value: Grillo (-150) over Dylan Frittelli (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 1:57 a.m. ET (Thursday); 6:58 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Grillo missed the cut at the U.S. Open, but he finished right on the cut line. His missed cut at Shinnecock Hills was his only missed cut in his 15 events since January. Considering his overall consistency, I’m willing to go back to the well with him on DraftKings at his dirt cheap price. Grillo ranks 23rd this season in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green, and his driving accuracy (68.1%) could be key here if/when the winds pick up at Carnoustie.


The Metrics

Here’s how Grillo ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-36th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 20th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-44th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 20th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-76th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Joe Maiorana-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Emiliano Grillo

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32

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