Jason Day’s Inaccurate Driver Could Prove Costly at Shinnecock

Credit:

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

For analysis of the top 85 golfers in the field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics.


The Info: Jason Day

DFS Pricing: $10,500 DraftKings, $12,000 FanDuel

U.S. Open History (2013-2017): T-2, T-4, T-9, T-8, MC

Odds: +1600 to win, +150 top-10 finish, -135 top-20 finish, -800 to make cut, +450 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +450 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Jason Day (+100) over Rickie Fowler

Tee Times: 7:40 a.m. (Thursday); 1:25 p.m. (Friday)

For more U.S. Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

While Day excels with his distance off the tee (307.1-yard Long-Term Driving Distance), being inaccurate off the tee (56.9% Long-Term Driving Accuracy) at Shinnecock will punish him, since the fairway width was shortened by nearly 20 yards compared to last year’s U.S. Open. The secondary rough doesn’t persist very long before you get to the fescue. Further, Day’s putting and scrambling have been the primary reasons he has done well of late, averaging just 27.1 putts per round and saving par on 72.9% of holes over the past six weeks. If either of those aspects of his game are off at Shinnecock, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him struggle.


The Metrics

Here’s how Day ranks in the U.S. Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-8th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: 2nd
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 33rd
  • Long-Term Driving Distance: T-17th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 81st

Want more U.S. Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 85 best golfers in the field.

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