2018 British Open: Can Patrick Reed Keep Up His Hot Major Play?

Jul 11, 2018 5:31 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Patrick Reed’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,400 DraftKings, $11,400 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): N/A, MC, T-20, T-12, MC

Odds: +3500 to win, +300 top-10 finish, +150 top-20 finish, -350 to make cut, +250 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +250 to miss cut

Best Matchup Value: Reed (-115) over Tyrrell Hatton (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 5:20 a.m. ET (Thursday), 10:21 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Reed has been lights-out since March, averaging a +27.69 DraftKings Plus/Minus with a 75% Consistency Rating. He’s crushed at the majors this season, finishing fourth at the U.S. Open and winning the Masters, which makes me optimistic about his potential this week. Reed can be sporadic off the tee, hitting just 56.6% of fairways over the past 75 weeks, along with ranking 106th in Strokes Gained: Off-The-Tee this season. However, he makes up for it around the green, avoiding bogey or worse on 60.3% of holes over the past 75 weeks and ranking third in Strokes Gained: Around-The-Green this year.


The Metrics

Here’s how Reed ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-19th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-16th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 19th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 111th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 27th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-12th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Reed

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32
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