PGA Championship Prop Picks: Tony Finau, Victor Perez, More Betting Values
Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Tony Finau
One of the joys of major championship weeks is an increased prop menu.
This is a spot, along with matchups, where bettors who study the lesser-known talents on TOUR can find an edge with the book providing more options.
Here are a handful of PGA Championship plays that caught my eye.
PGA Championship Prop Picks
Tony Finau Top-20 Finish (+188)
Finau is one of my favorite guys to back during majors. We all know how he struggles to lift the trophy, but he’s a solid option during most majors.
The three U.S. majors tend to really put the focus on length, and those type of events are right up Finau’s alley. He’s struggled a bit in the PGA Championship, but overall, he’s finished inside the top-20 in eight of 15 majors for his career.
Again, do I think he’ll win? No. But he definitely can string four solid rounds together often enough to make a plus-money bet profitable.
AM Round 1 Top 20 Tee Times
As of writing, tee times haven’t been announced yet, but look for a few longer shots to target in the morning. I prefer the top-20s, but any place or first-round leader bets should be looking in this wave.
If the early forecast holds, there could be a 10-15 mph wind difference for those playing in the afternoon and could lead to much more difficult scoring conditions. It’s always best to check the forecast on Wednesday before placing these bets, but if the current projections hold, the morning guys should have the edge in the opening round.
Victor Perez Top Frenchman (+225)
OK, plug your nose on this one.
Perez is the underdog in this threesome against Benjamin Hebert (+150) and Michael Lorenzo Vera (+165). Perez has been playing in the U.S. since the start of the break without much success. But of the three, he’s the most talented. He’s also ranked No. 50 in the world, well ahead of Vera at No. 82 and Hebert at No. 109. While world rankings aren’t a predictive element alone, it does go to show there’s been a decent gap in their results over the past couple years.
Vera hasn’t played an official event. Prior to that, he missed two cuts in Europe and finished near the bottom of the WGC Mexico field.
Hebert is probably the bigger concern. He made the cut in his return last week at the Hero Open in England, but a closing 76 shows his game isn’t where it needs to be, either.
Basically this is a three-way coin-flip in which we’re getting the slightly better play at the largest number. One way or another, expect this one to be done by Friday because I’m not expecting more than one of these guys to make a cut.