2018 British Open: Russell Henley Has Upside as Longshot Bet

Jul 11, 2018 5:40 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Russell Henley’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $6,900 DraftKings, $9,000 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-73, MC, T-20, MC, T-37

Odds: +20,000 to win, +1000 top-10 finish, +400 top-20 finish

Best Odds Value: +20,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Henley (-140) over Paul Dunne (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: Coming soon!

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

The British Open is an interesting event, as different styles can succeed there. Henley isn’t the longest hitter, but he can hit fairways (67.5% Long-Term Driving Accuracy) and greens, evidenced by his 67% Long-Term GIR over the past 75 weeks. Henley’s in terrific recent form (67.7 Recent Adjusted Round Score), and he’s fared well at both majors this season, finishing 25th at the U.S. Open and 15th at the Masters. At $6,900 on DraftKings, he’s one of my favorite plays if you’re looking below $7,000.


The Metrics

Here’s how Henley ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-24th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-14th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 54th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: T-48th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 23rd
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-76th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Henley

Follow Justin Bailey on Twitter
@justinbailey32
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