Bryson Dechambeau projected to claim first Green Jacket with Rory McIlroy set to suffer defending champion hangover at Augusta
With The Masters getting underway in over a week’s time, data analysts at Action Network have deployed their advanced Supercomputer simulation to project the notable outcomes from the first major on the golf calendar.
The best golfers in the world will battle out to wear the famous Green Jacket, looking to stake their claim at Augusta National.
The Supercomputer has used a predictive model to finalise a top 50 leaderboard, assess what the final standings of The Masters will look like, alongside each player’s respective win percentage and their chances of making the cut.
Whilst the likes of two-time Masters winner Scottie Scheffler and defending champion Rory McIlroy are the top two favourites according to the bookies, the Masters can often throw the several plot twists.
This has been reflected in the Supercomputer, with Bryson DeChambeau projected to win the Green Jacket with a significant 31.1 per cent chance of triumph to go with his final predicted score of -13. The two-time major champion has been fancied to go all the way at Augusta having already claimed two LIV tour wins this year in Singapore and South Africa.
DeChambeau, who was outplayed in the final round of last year’s Masters by McIlroy, will face a new contender in Ludvig Åberg. Åberg’s talent has been recognised around the world but the 26-year-old Swede will have to settle for a second-place finish, having achieved the same result at Augusta in 2024.
The English duo of Justin Rose and Matt Fitzpatrick are projected to continue their fine form heading into The Masters with top five finishes while Players Championship winner Cameron Young is also set to be in contention.
DeChambeau’s projected score of -13 under and competition further up the field is set to have a negative impact on Scheffler and McIlroy claiming more glory at Augusta. The Supercomputer has given Scheffler a 5.4 per cent chance of winning The Masters while McIlroy has a 3.3 likelihood of holding onto the Green Jacket.
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The Masters 2026 Supercomputer:
| Rank | Golfer | Projected Score | Projected Win % | Made Cut % |
| 1 | Bryson DeChambeau | -13 | 31.10% | 68.60% |
| 2 | Ludvig Åberg | -11 | 19.20% | 68.40% |
| T3 | Justin Rose | -9 | 8.10% | 67.30% |
| T3 | Cameron Young | -9 | 8.10% | 67.30% |
| 5 | Matt Fitzpatrick | -8 | 6.80% | 66.30% |
| 6 | Scottie Scheffler | -7 | 5.40% | 66.20% |
| T7 | Rory McIlroy | -6 | 3.30% | 66.00% |
| T7 | Xander Schauffele | -6 | 3.30% | 66.00% |
| T7 | Tommy Fleetwood | -6 | 3.30% | 66.00% |
| 10 | Brooks Koepka | -5 | 3% | 65.20% |
| 11 | Jordan Spieth | -4 | 1.80% | 64.20% |
| T12 | Collin Morikawa | -3 | 1.20% | 63.20% |
| T12 | Robert MacIntyre | -3 | 1.20% | 63.20% |
| T12 | Hideki Matsuyama | -3 | 1.20% | 63.20% |
| T15 | Shane Lowry | -2 | 0.80% | 62.20% |
| T15 | Sepp Straka | -2 | 0.80% | 62.20% |
| T15 | Viktor Hovland | -2 | 0.80% | 62.20% |
| T15 | Patrick Reed | -2 | 0.80% | 62.20% |
| T19 | Min Woo Lee | -1 | 0.40% | 61.10% |
| T19 | Tom Hoge | -1 | 0.40% | 61.10% |
| T19 | Sungjae Im | -1 | 0.40% | 61.10% |
| T22 | Justin Thomas | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Max Homa | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Sahith Theegala | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Corey Conners | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Joaquin Niemann | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Akshay Bhatia | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T22 | Gary Woodland | E | 0.20% | 60.20% |
| T29 | Sam Burns | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T29 | Tyrrell Hatton | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T29 | Russell Henley | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T29 | Si Woo Kim | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T29 | Patrick Cantlay | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T29 | Jason Day | +1 | 0.10% | 59.30% |
| T35 | Adam Scott | +2 | 0.02% | 58.40% |
| T35 | Aaron Rai | +2 | 0.02% | 58.40% |
| T37 | Jon Rahm | +3 | 0.02% | 57.20% |
| T37 | Nicolai Højgaard | +3 | 0.02% | 57.20% |
| T37 | Cameron Smith | +3 | 0.02% | 57.20% |
| T37 | Brian Harman | +3 | 0.02% | 57.20% |
| T41 | Wyndham Clark | +4 | 0.02% | 56.50% |
| T41 | Daniel Berger | +4 | 0.02% | 56.50% |
| 43 | Harris English | +5 | 0.02% | 55.90% |
| 44 | Charl Schwartzel | +6 | 0.02% | 54.80% |
| 45 | Dustin Johnson | +7 | 0.02% | 53.80% |
| T46 | Jake Knapp | +8 | 0.02% | 52.90% |
| T46 | Sergio Garcia | +8 | 0.01% | 52.90% |
| 48 | Matt McCarty | +9 | 0.01% | 52.10% |
| 49 | Maverick McNealy | +10 | 0.01% | 51.80% |
| 50 | Kurt Kitayama | +11 | 0.01% | 51.50% |
Other talking points from the Supercomputer include 2015 Masters champion Jordan Spieth finishing just outside the top 10 with Scotland’s Bob MacIntyre and Ireland’s Shane Lowry also ranking in similar positions.
Of those set to notably miss the cut, Phil Mickelson is likely to miss out on the action during the weekend at Augusta as a result of his poor form on LIV. The same can also be said for fellow former Masters champion Bubba Watson.
How does the 2026 Masters Supercomputer work?
The 2026 Masters Supercomputer, conducted by Action Network, uses an advanced simulation model based on the following – each qualified player’s recent form, the current Official Golf World Rankings (OGWR) and past performances of each player at Augusta National.
Combining these three components, the model was run 10,000 times with the most frequent results highlighted from the top 50 players expected to make up the final leaderboard.
These simulations helped determine each player’s projected score and win percentage as well as the likelihood of each golfer making the cut.
