2018 British Open: Tiger Woods’ Weaknesses Won’t Be a Problem at Carnoustie

Jul 11, 2018 5:41 PM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Tiger Woods’ British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $8,900 DraftKings, $10,800 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-6, 69, MC, N/A, N/A

Odds: +2200 to win, +200 top-10 finish, +110 top-20 finish, -400 to make cut, +275 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +110 top-20 finish

Best Matchup Value: N/A

Tee Times: 10:21 a.m. ET (Thursday); 5:20 a.m ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Two areas where Woods has struggled this season: Driving accuracy, as he ranks 176th, and putting, as he’s 57th and plummeting with every timid stroke. At Carnoustie, he’ll largely be able to keep Frank the headcover on his driver for many tee shots, while the fast greens that have befuddled him in the U.S. give way to the relative shagginess of an Open venue. None of that should suggest that Tiger is ready to claim his 15th major this week, but course characteristics should help him avoid those issues that have plagued him throughout the year.


The Metrics

Here’s how Woods ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-7th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-29th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 6th
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 110th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 2nd
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-8th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tiger Woods

Follow Jason Sobel on Twitter
@JasonSobelTAN
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