2018 British Open: Zach Johnson’s Elite History Makes Him Worth Longshot Bet

Jul 12, 2018 10:06 AM EDT

For analysis of the top 90 golfers in the British Open field, check out this page. “Best odds value” and “Best matchup value” listed below are determined by a proprietary model built by Colin Davy. It factors in the course, plus a variety of weighted metrics and the betting odds (via Bovada). This isn’t meant to imply every player is worth a bet; we’re simply showing the most efficient way to wager on each golfer should you so choose.


Zach Johnson’s British Open Odds

DFS Pricing: $7,200 DraftKings, $9,700 FanDuel

British Open History (2013-17): T-6, T-47, WIN, T-12, T-14

Odds: +10,000 to win, +600 top-10 finish, +300 top-20 finish, +200 to miss cut

Best Odds Value: +10,000 to win

Best Matchup Value: Johnson (-130) over Russell Knox (Sportsbook.ag)

Tee Times: 8:15 a.m. ET (Thursday), 3:14 a.m. ET (Friday)

For more British Open betting and DFS coverage, follow @ActionNetGolf on Twitter and subscribe to The Action Network Golf podcast.


The Outlook

Johnson has a strong Open Championship resume. He obviously has the victory in 2015 to his credit, but he’s also finished in the top 16 in six of the past seven years. He’s shown the ability to adjust his game to many different courses and playing conditions over the past decade. He’s worth a look at 100-1 as a longshot and is a great low-end fantasy option.


The Metrics

Here’s how Johnson ranks in the British Open field in several key metrics. For many more, be sure to check out the FantasyLabs PGA Models.

  • Long-Term Adjusted Round Score: T-24th
  • Recent Adjusted Round Score: T-12th
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 23rd
  • Long-Term Greens in Regulation: 107th
  • Strokes Gained: Approach: 15th
  • Long-Term Putts Per Round: T-16th

Want more British Open coverage? Check out this page for tips on the 90 best golfers in the field.

Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

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