Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2023

Guardians at Yankees

11:05 pm • Amazon Prime Video

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

3 - 4

New York Yankees

3-4

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Schmidt			4.64	9-9
S.Bieber			3.80	6-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	-1.5+132	o7.5-115	-120
Yankees 3-4	+1.5-162	u7.5-105	+102

Wednesday 11:05 p.m.

May 03, 2023

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY +101

1.01u

NYY +1-125

NYY +105

$1.05

CLE -125

1.25u

NYY +111

0.56u

C.Schmidt u4.5 Ks-105

0.5u

Bet Labs projects 4.1; Guardians super low K rate of 19% against righties. Generated just 3 Ks facing 18 batters in this lineup on Apr 12

NYY +125

$1.25

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Project 6.9; positive regression coming for Schmidt with a FIP 2.5 lower than ERA. Limited Cleveland to 3 ER in first meeting. Both pens best in MLB ERA

NYY +120

1.32u

NYY +125

0.63u

Bet to +120

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The Guardians are 5-74 (.063) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Gleyber Torres has a miss rate of only 12% on outside fastballs this season -- tied for 12th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 63% of the time this season -- highest among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Myles Straw is batting just .184 on breaking pitches from RHP since last season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .109 (7-for-64) on Clarke Schmidt breaking pitches since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 60% of the time (564/944) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% -- 100th Percentile.

Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 63% of the time (118/188) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	78-84	43-38	35-46	68-72	9-12
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	76-81-5	36-44-1	40-37-4	64-73-3	11-8-2
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	50-31	44-37	85-55	8-13
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 2nd	CLE	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7	NYY -162
May 1st	CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CLE -130
Apr 30th	@TEX	L 2-15	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TEX -125
Apr 29th	@TEX	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	TEX +138
Apr 29th	@TEX	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7	TEX +190

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Bieber, P	93	8	4	2
RE.Clase, P	12	1	0	1
RT.Stephan, P	10	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	1-5	1	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	0-4	0	0
5J.Bell, DH	1-3	0	1
6A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	1
7W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0
8M.Straw, CF	2-4	1	0
9C. Gallagher, C	0-3	0	0
9O.Gonzalez, PH	1-1	0	1
9M. Zunino, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	79	4.1	4	0
RI.Hamilton, P	16	1.2	2	0
RJ. Cordero, P	17	1	0	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	23	1.2	2	0
RC.Holmes, P	9	0.1	0	1
RA. Abreu, P	4	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
3O.Peraza, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3A. Hicks, PR	0-0	1	0	0
3A. Hicks, CF	0-0	1	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4D.LeMahieu, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5W.Calhoun, DH	2-3	1	1	2
6H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	0-1	1	0	0
7J.Bauers, RF	1-3	1	1	1
8I.Kiner-Falefa, LF	1-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Trevino, PH	1-1	0	0	1