Phillies vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Phillies at Pirates

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH
6 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Bubba Chandler logoB.ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates logo4.386-8
Cristopher Sanchez logoC.SanchezPhiladelphia Phillies logo2.6216-4

Phillies at Pirates Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
73-58
-1.5
-1.5-105
o8.5-105
-182
Pirates
63-69
u7.5
+1.5-115
u8.5-113
+150
location pinSaturday 8:05 p.m.
May 16, 2026
PNC ParkPittsburgh
Phillies vs. Pirates Expert Picks
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 37-28-1 (+11.5u)
Over 6.5 (Live)+110
0.3u
Live hedge.
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 120-114-6 (+5.1u)
PHI u4.5+102
0.62u
#EV 1.26%
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 100-133-7 (-9.5u)
Under 8.5-109
0.23u
ONLY if you have Over 8. Make this 8.5 now - taking half off original position
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 111-127-7 (-10.4u)
C.Sanchez o18.5 Outs+115
0.49u
Brandon Kravitz
Brandon Kravitz
Last 30d: 37-28-1 (+11.5u)
Under 8.5-102
1u
Derek Carty
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 18-33-6 (-3.6u)
B.Marsh Over0.5 Hitter Walks+260
1u
There may be some value on Brandon Marsh's walks prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 0.45 walks, and oddsmakers are implying 0.32. The model believes there is a 37% chance he records at least 1 walk, so there is value on the over at +260. This play is good down to at least +197. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 408-427-13 (-12.7u)
PHI o4.5-115
1u
C.Sanchez u7.5 Ks-151
1.51u
Topper
Topper
Last 30d: 120-114-6 (+5.1u)
PIT +0.5 (F5)+104
1.04u
#EV 2.21%
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 100-133-7 (-9.5u)
Over 8-110
0.55u
Update: Want -110 to bet and would keep smaller
Doug Ziefel
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 111-127-7 (-10.4u)
Under 8.5-125
0.5u

Phillies vs. Pirates Previews & Analysis

  • The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday article feature image

    The Leadoff: Trollo's MLB Breakdown & Bets for Saturday

    Matt Trollo
    May 16, 2026 UTC
  • Phillies vs Pirates: System-Backed Total Prediction article feature image

    Phillies vs Pirates: System-Backed Total Prediction

    Action Network Staff
    May 16, 2026 UTC
  • +350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props article feature image

    +350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props

    Alex Kolodziej
    May 16, 2026 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Pirates Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Phillies

Public

76%

Bets%

24%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
65-6732-3433-3333-3531-30
Phillies
53-7828-4025-3845-548-24

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Pirates
72-56-442-23-130-33-341-26-129-29-3
Phillies
60-65-636-29-324-36-350-44-510-21-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Pirates
63-6934-3229-3737-3125-36
Phillies
73-5838-3035-2863-3610-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
May 15thPHIL 9-11-1.5 LO 8.5PHI -135
May 14thCOLW 7-2-1.5 WO 7.5PIT -177
May 13thCOLL 4-10-1.5 LO 8.5COL -185
May 12thCOLW 3-1-1.5 WU 7.5PIT -294
May 10th@SFL 6-7+1.5 WO 8SF +105

Pirates vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Pirates Injuries

    Phillies Injuries

    • Max Lazar
      RP

      Lazar is out with oblique

      Out

    • Andrew Painter
      SP

      Andrew Painter was seen walking out to bullpen, he won't start but could be available in relief.

      Questionable

    Phillies vs. Pirates Box Score
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Cristopher Sanchez logoLC.Sanchez, P1089130
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Trea Turner logo1T.Turner, SS2-4201
    Kyle Schwarber logo2K.Schwarber, DH1-4101
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B1-3113
    Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B2-5000
    Brandon Marsh logo5B.Marsh, LF1-5000
    Adolis Garcia logo6A.Garcia, RF1-5000
    Bryson Stott logo7B.Stott, 2B0-4000
    J.T. Realmuto logo8J.Realmuto, C0-3100
    Justin Crawford logo9J.Crawford, CF0-2100
    Pirates Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Bubba Chandler logoRB.Chandler, P73324
    Evan Sisk logoLE.Sisk, P361.230
    Isaac Mattson logoRI.Mattson, P251.120
    Yohan Ramirez logoRY.Ramirez, P13130
    Justin Lawrence logoRJ.Lawrence, P17111
    Brandan Bidois logoRB.Bidois, P19100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Oneil Cruz logo1O.Cruz, CF0-4000
    Konnor Griffin logo2K.Griffin, SS2-4000
    Bryan Reynolds logo3B.Reynolds, LF2-4000
    Marcell Ozuna logo4M.Ozuna, DH0-4000
    Ryan O'Hearn logo5R.O'Hearn, 1B0-1000
    Nick Yorke logo5N.Yorke, RF0-3000
    Nick Gonzales logo6N.Gonzales, 3B2-3000
    Brandon Lowe logo7B.Lowe, 2B0-3000
    Jared Triolo logo8J.Triolo, RF0-3000
    Jared Triolo logo8J.Triolo, 1B0-3000
    Henry Davis logo9H.Davis, C0-3000

    Phillies vs. Pirates Odds Comparison

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    Phillies at Pirates Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Phillies
    73-58
    N/A
    N/A
    Pirates
    63-69
    N/A
    N/A