The Los Angeles Angels (45-48) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-48) on Friday, July 11, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.
The Diamondbacks open this series as modest -135 road favorites over the Angels (+110). Arizona split its last four games against the Padres, with convincing wins in Games 1 (6–3) and 3 (8–2). Meanwhile, Los Angeles remains inconsistent, suffering blowout losses to Texas in Games 2 and 4 (13–1, 11–4) despite putting up runs in the two wins.
Find my Diamondbacks vs Angels prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs. Angels Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-135)
My Diamondbacks vs. Angels best bet is on Arizona Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Angels Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +125 | 9.5 -102o / -118u | -135 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 9.5 -102o / -118u | +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Ryne Nelson (ARI) | Stat | LHP Tyler Anderson (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | W-L | 2-6 |
| 1.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.6 |
| 3.39/3.86 | ERA / xERA | 4.19/4.40 |
| 3.38/3.77 | FIP / xFIP | 4.84/4.96 |
| 0.98 | WHIP | 1.38 |
| 14.6% | K-BB% | 9.9% |
| 42.4% | GB% | 31.4% |
| 108 | Stuff+ | 96 |
| 100 | Location+ | 96 |
Diamondbacks vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis
Both teams have nearly identical records this season, and this aligns perfectly with Evan Abrams’ Road Tilt in the Dead Heat system.
This model identifies hidden value in matchups between non-division opponents with similar win rates when the market favors the visitor.
When there's no clear performance gap, but the market still tilts slightly toward the road team, it suggests underlying confidence from oddsmakers that may not be reflected in public perception.
This model seizes those subtle cues, leaning into narrow value created by near-identical records and overlooked road strength.
Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-135)
