Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 11

Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction, Pick, Odds for Friday, July 11 article feature image
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Pictured: Ryne Nelson. (Credit: Patrick Gorski-Imagn Images)

The Los Angeles Angels (45-48) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (46-48) on Friday, July 11, 2025. First pitch from Angel Stadium is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on Apple TV+.

The Diamondbacks open this series as modest -135 road favorites over the Angels (+110). Arizona split its last four games against the Padres, with convincing wins in Games 1 (6–3) and 3 (8–2). Meanwhile, Los Angeles remains inconsistent, suffering blowout losses to Texas in Games 2 and 4 (13–1, 11–4) despite putting up runs in the two wins.

Find my Diamondbacks vs Angels prediction and MLB betting preview below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

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Diamondbacks vs Angels Prediction

  • Diamondbacks vs. Angels Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-135)

My Diamondbacks vs. Angels best bet is on Arizona Moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Diamondbacks vs Angels Odds

Diamondbacks Logo
Friday, Jul 11
9:38 p.m. ET
Apple TV+
Angels Logo
Diamondbacks Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+125
9.5
-102o / -118u
-135
Angels Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-155
9.5
-102o / -118u
+110
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Diamondbacks vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers

RHP Ryne Nelson (ARI)StatLHP Tyler Anderson (LAA)
5-2W-L2-6
1.0fWAR (FanGraphs)0.6
3.39/3.86ERA / xERA4.19/4.40
3.38/3.77FIP / xFIP4.84/4.96
0.98WHIP1.38
14.6%K-BB%9.9%
42.4%GB%31.4%
108Stuff+96
100Location+96

Diamondbacks vs Angels Pick, Betting Analysis

Both teams have nearly identical records this season, and this aligns perfectly with Evan Abrams’ Road Tilt in the Dead Heat system.

This model identifies hidden value in matchups between non-division opponents with similar win rates when the market favors the visitor.

When there's no clear performance gap, but the market still tilts slightly toward the road team, it suggests underlying confidence from oddsmakers that may not be reflected in public perception.

This model seizes those subtle cues, leaning into narrow value created by near-identical records and overlooked road strength.

Pick: Diamondbacks ML (-135)

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