The New York Mets host the Arizona Diamondbacks on April 7, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on ARID.
The Mets are favored by -162 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Diamondbacks are +136 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Diamondbacks vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Prediction
- Diamondbacks vs Mets Pick: Under 7
My Diamondbacks vs Mets best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Odds
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -166 | 7 -108o / -112u | +136 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +138 | 7 -108o / -112u | -162 |
- Diamondbacks vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+138), Diamondbacks +1.5 (-166)
- Diamondbacks vs Mets over/under: 7 (-108o / -112u)
- Diamondbacks vs Mets moneyline: Diamondbacks +136, Mets -162
Diamondbacks vs Mets Pitchers
| Zac Gallen (RHP) | Stat | Freddy Peralta (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-0 |
| 0.1 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.2 |
| 3.60 / 8.14 | ERA / xERA | 4.35 / 2.44 |
| 4.28 / 4.36 | FIP / xFIP | 3.56 / 1.72 |
| 1.10 | WHIP | 1.06 |
| 5.0% | K-BB% | 28.6% |
| 47.1% | GB% | 53.8% |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 100 |
| 114 | Location+ | 119 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
In the early months of the MLB season (March and April), cold weather (between one and 50 degrees) creates ideal conditions for Under.
Pitchers tend to be ahead of hitters at the start of the season, and colder air can suppress offensive production by reducing ball carry.
This system further isolates day games (12 PM to 4 PM) when shadows and cool starts give pitchers an additional edge — especially as hitters may take longer to get loose.
Taken together, these filters identify a recurring edge that has yielded a positive long-term ROI when consistently betting the under.
Additionally, our own Sean Zerillo projects a bit of value on this Under, making the line closer to 6.6 than 7.
As a reminder, you can see all of Zerillo's MLB game projections with an Action PRO Subscription. Find his projected lines every day on the PRO Projections tab.
Diamondbacks vs Mets Picks
Let's put this all together:
- Zac Gallen is on the mound for the Snakes.
- Fastball Freddy is on the mound for the Mets.
- One of our PRO betting systems popped for the Under.
- Zerillo projects a slight edge on the Under.
- The weather looks brutal in Queens, with temperatures in the mid-40s and 20 MPH winds blowing in from left field — BallParkPal projects a -18% run factor for this game behind a -28% home run factor.
Everything points to the Under on Tuesday afternoon.
Pick: Under 7
