The Cincinnati Reds host the Atlanta Braves on August 1, 2025. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 12:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FDSSO.
The Reds enter this day game as -130 home favorites against the visiting Atlanta Braves.
Find my MLB betting preview and Braves vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.
My Braves vs Reds Prediction
- Braves vs Reds pick: Reds ML (Play to -150)
My Braves vs Reds best bet is on Reds moneyline. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Braves vs Reds Odds
| Braves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +165 | 9 -120o / 100u | +100 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -200 | 9 -120o / 100u | -120 |
Braves vs Reds Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Bryce Elder (ATL) | Stat | RHP Brady Singer (CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-7 | W-L | 8-8 |
| -0.4 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.5 |
| 6.29/5.88 | ERA /xERA | 4.60/4.50 |
| 5.32/4.19 | FIP / xFIP | 4.18/4.39 |
| 1.61 | WHIP | 1.33 |
| 2.1 | K-BB% | 2.3 |
| 49.1 | GB% | 36.3 |
| 91 | Stuff+ | 95 |
| 105 | Location+ | 100 |
Sean Paul’s Braves vs Reds Preview
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview: Second Elder Statesman
There’s no other way to classify the Braves' season other than being a colossal failure. And the fact that Bryce Elder is the second-longest tenured Braves starter speaks to how injured the rotation is.
Elder is a pitcher I want to fade. Entering this contest, Elder has a shaky 6.29 ERA with a 5.88 xERA and 5.19 FIP in 87 1/3 innings.
Sure, most ground-ball pitchers, like Elder, tend to have worse expected numbers than their more strikeout-oriented counterparts. But where Elder differs from his fellow groundballers is his brutal 1.75 HR/9. He doesn't allow many fly balls, but 20% of them result in homers.
Just when the Braves' offense began to hit, they lost Ronald Acuna Jr. to the injured list (again). They have the 10th-best wRC+ since the All-Star break concluded, but Eli White will have to try replacing Acuna's 154 wRC+.
In Acuna's stead, the Braves could use more production from Matt Olson and Austin Riley. Those are the two most likely candidates to help the offense. However, Riley has a 54 wRC+ since July 18. Olson has done his part, posting a 124 wRC+.
Michael Harris sports a team-high 221 wRC+ in his last 50 at-bats, which is a big reason for the Braves' recent strong production.
I don't buy that continuing, but it would be nice for Atlanta if it does.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview: Dull Bats in Cincy
It's certainly been a strange first year for Brady Singer in Cincinnati. He had a terrific year in 2024 with Kansas City, but to date, in 2025, he has a 4.60 ERA with minimal signs of positive regression.
So, what changed for Singer? He went from a 47% ground-ball rate to just a 36% ground-ball rate, and playing in the hitter's haven that is Great American Ballpark probably doesn't help.
Singer looked phenomenal in his last start, posting a strong 7 1/3 innings with just one earned run and eight strikeouts in a 2-1 win over Tampa Bay. Perhaps that's the springboard needed for Singer to finish his 2025 season on a strong note.
The Reds' offense has performed much worse than the Braves' since the All-Star break. Yes, it's a smaller sample, so I still trust the Reds' bats more in this matchup, but they rank 20th with a 95 wRC+ in those 13 games.
Also in that span, Cincinnati's power has totally fallen off a cliff, tallying 11 home runs with a league-worst .104 isolated power.
The good thing about this matchup is that not only will Elder give the Reds some chances to drive pitches, but his lousy walk rate will allow them to show off their own 11.3% walk rate.
Elly De La Cruz found his power stroke on Thursday, drilling a ball to center for a two-run shot. If he begins hitting for power again, that's a huge boost for a Reds team in desperate need of some extra punch.
He's part of the reason I see the Reds finding a power surge.
They just haven't gotten enough pop from bats like Will Benson, Spencer Steer and Tyler Stephenson, who each have shown plenty of power in the past.
Braves vs Reds Prediction, Betting Analysis
After disappointingly dropping Thursday's game, I see the Reds snagging a win on Friday morning.
Singer is the better pitcher in this matchup, and it's only a matter of time until the loss of Acuna starts to show.
As a slight -130 home favorite, it seems smart to fade Elder here and back the home team.
Pick: Reds ML (Play to -150)
Moneyline
I'll take the Reds to -150 on the moneyline.
Run Line (Spread)
I don't have a play on the run line.
Over/Under
I don't have a play on the total.
