The Miami Marlins host the Baltimore Orioles on May 6, 2026. First pitch from loanDepot park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on MASN.
The Marlins are favored by -124 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Marlins prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction
- Orioles vs Marlins Pick: Brandon Young Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-167 or Better)
My Orioles vs Marlins best bet is on Brandon Young's hits allowed prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Marlins Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -196 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | +106 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +162 | 8.5 -115o / -105u | -124 |
- Orioles vs Marlins moneyline: Orioles +106, Marlins -124
- Orioles vs Marlins over/under: 8.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Orioles vs Marlins spread: Marlins -1.5 (+162), Orioles +1.5 (-196)
Orioles vs Marlins Probable Pitchers
| Brandon Young (RHP, BAL) | Stat | Eury Perez (RHP, MIA) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | W-L | 2-3 |
| 0.0 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 4.30 / 5.76 | ERA / xERA | 4.46 / 5.01 |
| 5.60 / 5.27 | FIP / xFIP | 4.63 / 4.29 |
| 5.9% | K-BB% | 14.6% |
| 40.7% | GB% | 36.0% |
| .294 | BABIP | .295 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 117 |
| 108 | Location+ | 92 |
Orioles vs Marlins MLB Betting Preview
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop
By Derek Carty
THE BAT X forecasts 4.83 hits allowed for Young, compared to the 5.65 implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value on this prop.
If you bet the Under, you'd be projected to win 69% of the time, resulting in a 31% ROI.
Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $34.38.
This play is good down to at least -167.
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Pick: Brandon Young Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-167 or Better)
