The Toronto Blue Jays host the Baltimore Orioles on June 5, 2026. First pitch from Rogers Centre is scheduled for 7:07 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SN1.
The Blue Jays are favored by -150 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Orioles are +125 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Orioles vs Blue Jays prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Prediction
- Orioles vs Blue Jays Pick: Brandon Young Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-157, DraftKings)
My Orioles vs Blue Jays best bet is on Young to record less than 5 strikeouts. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Odds
| Orioles Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +135 | 8 -116o / -105u | +125 |
| Blue Jays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -164 | 8 -116o / -105u | -150 |
- Orioles vs Blue Jays moneyline: Orioles +125, Blue Jays -150
- Orioles vs Blue Jays over/under: 8 (-116o / -105u)
- Orioles vs Blue Jays spread: Blue Jays -1.5 (+135 ), Orioles +1.5 (-164)
Orioles vs Blue Jays Probable Pitchers
| Brandon Young | Stat | Trey Yesavage |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | W-L | 2-2 |
| 0.6 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 1.3 |
| 3.35 / 4.33 | ERA / xERA | 2.19 / 2.50 |
| 4.34 / 4.95 | FIP / xFIP | 2.45 / 4.15 |
| 8.5 | K-BB% | 14.8 |
| 37 | GB% | 36 |
| .278 | BABIP | .283 |
| 96 | Stuff+ | 111 |
| 106 | Location+ | 87 |
Orioles vs Blue Jays MLB Betting Preview
Action PRO projects Orioles starter Brandon Young for 3.38 strikeouts in his matchup against the Blue Jays tonight, giving us a strong 13.7% edge against the market when compared to his current prop line of over/under 4.5, which is good enough to tag the Under with a B+ grade in our system.
Orioles vs Blue Jays Pick, Betting Analysis
Young has recorded 33 strikeouts so far this season and enters this matchup coming off one of his strongest performances of the year. In his previous outing against Toronto, he punched out seven batters and looked far more effective than he had in several recent starts.
However, that performance appears more like an outlier than a new baseline because over his last five outings, Young has stayed under this number twice, finishing with four and three strikeouts in those appearances. Looking at a larger sample, he has gone under in four of his last 10 starts.
The bigger story is that PRO expects some regression from his most recent outing. While the seven-strikeout performance against the Blue Jays stands out, Toronto remains a disciplined lineup that can force pitchers to work deep counts and elevate pitch totals quickly.
Young has generally profiled as a contact-oriented starter, which makes this number a bit ambitious. His projection of 3.38 strikeouts sits well below the market line and suggests there is value backing the Under.
Pick: Brandon Young Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-157, DraftKings)
