The Cleveland Guardians host the Boston Red Sox on May 31, 2026. First pitch from Progressive Field is scheduled for 1:40 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on NESN.
The Red Sox are favored by -118 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Guardians are +100 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 7.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Red Sox vs Guardians prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Red Sox vs Guardians Prediction
- Red Sox vs Guardians Pick: Under 7.5
My Red Sox vs Guardians best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Red Sox vs Guardians Odds
| Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +152 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | -118 |
| Guardians Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -184 | 7.5 -105o / -115u | +100 |
- Red Sox vs Guardians moneyline: Red Sox -118, Guardians +100
- Red Sox vs Guardians over/under: 7.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Red Sox vs Guardians spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+152), Guardians +1.5 (-184)
Red Sox vs Guardians Probable Pitchers
| Ranger Suarez (LHP, BOS) | Stat | Tanner Bibee (RHP, CLE) |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | W-L | 0-7 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.3 |
| 3.02 / 3.54 | ERA / xERA | 4.57 / 4.39 |
| 3.29 / 3.61 | FIP / xFIP | 4.84 / 4.13 |
| 14.1% | K-BB% | 12.8% |
| 41.5% | GB% | 36.2% |
| .257 | BABIP | .282 |
| 94 | Stuff+ | 104 |
| 103 | Location+ | 100 |
Red Sox vs Guardians MLB Betting Preview
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:
The SP-Controlled Unders in Game 3 and 4 system identifies Unders in the middle of a series when home teams rely on starting pitchers with solid command but lower strikeout rates.
These matchups often feature modest WHIP and controlled pace, not dominance, which can suppress explosive scoring.
By focusing on Game 3 and 4 scenarios with average wind speeds and directional neutrality, this strategy captures value in quieter, situationally stable environments where total lines may be slightly inflated by early-series outcomes or public betting.
It's a play on tempo, not talent.
Not only is this system a whopping 69-16 lifetime, but it's also 4-1 this season.
Pick: Under 7.5
